En-Shuo Liang vs Mai Hontama
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mai Hontama
En-Shuo …: 36,4% Mai …: 63,6%
¿Por qué Mai Hontama?
UTR 11,53 vs 11,38 (-0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente En-Shuo … Mai … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,15 1,63 46,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,75 1,57 36,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
En-Shuo Liang
Ranking #359
UTR Rating 11,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #242
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Mai Hontama
Ranking #244
UTR Rating 11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #312
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -155,0000
rank_ratio 0,6076
log_rank_ratio -0,4982
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -154,0000
best_rank_diff -45,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,2500
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,1500
surface_matches_ratio 0,1250
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 43,7500
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,0000
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,4300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,9850
first_serve_won_diff -2,2000
second_serve_won_diff -1,7000
bp_saved_diff -8,1000
bp_converted_diff 5,3000
aces_per_match_diff -0,1875
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 25,4010
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 8,6720
serve_consistency_p2 5,3461
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,1140
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1550
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2175
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1600
utr_p1 0,3859
utr_p2 0,4047
utr_advantage -1,4085
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21644
API ID 15313329
Gamdom ID 571482
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21644,
    "api_id": 15313329,
    "gamdom_id": 571482,
    "player1": "En-Shuo Liang",
    "player2": "Mai Hontama",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-04T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.15,
      "p2": 1.63
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.17,
      "p2": 1.65
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3636,
    "prob_p2": 0.6364,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6364,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 359,
      "utr_singles": 11.53,
      "utr_ranking": 242,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 244,
      "utr_singles": 11.38,
      "utr_ranking": 312,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.53,
      "ranking": 242,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.38,
      "ranking": 312,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3858823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.40470588235294114,
    "utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6075949367088608,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -154,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.100000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
    "utr_advantage": -1.4084507042253533,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -45,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.4982468415591305,
    "rank_advantage": -155,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.25,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.300000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.9849999999999994,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.1875,
    "combined_confidence": 0.43,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.200000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.67201992661563,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.34606996290384,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.114042759744566,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.7000000000000028,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 25.400999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15500000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.21750000000000003,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.15,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}