En-Shuo Liang vs Mai Hontama
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 03:30
05 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mai Hontama
En-Shuo …: 36,4%
Mai …: 63,6%
¿Por qué Mai Hontama?
UTR 11,53 vs 11,38
(-0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | En-Shuo … | Mai … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 2,15 | 1,63 | 46,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,75 | 1,57 | 36,4% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
En-Shuo Liang
Ranking
#359
UTR Rating
11,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#242
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Mai Hontama
Ranking
#244
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#312
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -155,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6076 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4982 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -154,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -45,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,2500 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,1500 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,9850 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1875 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25,4010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,6720 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,3461 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,1140 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1550 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2175 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4047 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4085 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21644
API ID
15313329
Gamdom ID
571482
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21644,
"api_id": 15313329,
"gamdom_id": 571482,
"player1": "En-Shuo Liang",
"player2": "Mai Hontama",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-04T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.15,
"p2": 1.63
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.17,
"p2": 1.65
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3636,
"prob_p2": 0.6364,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6364,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 359,
"utr_singles": 11.53,
"utr_ranking": 242,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 244,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 312,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.53,
"ranking": 242,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 312,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3858823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.40470588235294114,
"utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 0.6075949367088608,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -154,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.100000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
"utr_advantage": -1.4084507042253533,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -45,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4982468415591305,
"rank_advantage": -155,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.25,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.300000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.9849999999999994,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.1875,
"combined_confidence": 0.43,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.200000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.67201992661563,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.34606996290384,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.114042759744566,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.7000000000000028,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.400999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15500000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.21750000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.15,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}