Katie Boulter vs Yuliia Starodubtseva
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Katie Boulter
Katie …: 53,6% Yuliia …: 46,4%
¿Por qué Katie Boulter?
UTR 12,09 vs 12,00 (+0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Katie … Yuliia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
Gamdom 1,79 2,04 55,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,87 2,16 53,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Katie …: -1,2% Yuliia …: +1,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katie Boulter
Ranking #113
UTR Rating 12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #83
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking #110
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #106
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 10/27 = 37,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 7,0000
rank_ratio 1,0660
log_rank_ratio 0,0639
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 59,0000
best_rank_diff 40,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,2707
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,0842
surface_matches_ratio 0,9630
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,3077
surface_wr_p2 37,0370
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 38,7097
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1538
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,4377
first_serve_won_diff 3,3385
second_serve_won_diff 1,0231
bp_saved_diff -4,4923
bp_converted_diff 0,8769
aces_per_match_diff 2,2308
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -26,7500
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 69,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6190
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4333
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2000
serve_consistency_p1 8,0298
serve_consistency_p2 9,9988
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,3371
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0839
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1226
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2400
utr_p1 0,4824
utr_p2 0,4541
utr_advantage 2,0033
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21648
API ID 15313334
Gamdom ID 571489
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21648,
    "api_id": 15313334,
    "gamdom_id": 571489,
    "player1": "Katie Boulter",
    "player2": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T22:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.79,
      "p2": 2.04
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.77,
      "p2": 2.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5361,
    "prob_p2": 0.4639,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5361,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 113,
      "utr_singles": 12.09,
      "utr_ranking": 83,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 110,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 106,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.03703703703704,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.09,
      "ranking": 83,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 106,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.48235294117647054,
    "utr_p2": 0.45411764705882346,
    "utr_diff": 0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0660377358490567,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 59,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.492307692307698,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
    "surface_wr_p2": 37.03703703703704,
    "utr_advantage": 2.0033388981636078,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 40,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.06394872460027351,
    "rank_advantage": 7,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.2706552706552685,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.8769230769230774,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 27,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.437692307692309,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6190476190476191,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.43333333333333335,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.230769230769231,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.3384615384615444,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.029806944956649,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.998834679107869,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.3370516823661138,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 38.70967741935484,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.0230769230769283,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9629629629629629,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -26.75,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 69,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08392307692307693,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12262962962962959,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.0842293906810045,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}