Katie Boulter vs Yuliia Starodubtseva
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 02:30
06 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Katie Boulter
Katie …: 53,6%
Yuliia …: 46,4%
¿Por qué Katie Boulter?
UTR 12,09 vs 12,00
(+0,24)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Katie … | Yuliia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,79 | 2,04 | 55,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,87 | 2,16 | 53,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Katie …: -1,2%
Yuliia …: +1,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katie Boulter
Ranking
#113
UTR Rating
12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#83
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking
#110
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#106
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
10/27 = 37,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 7,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0660 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0639 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 59,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 40,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,2707 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,0842 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9630 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 37,0370 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 38,7097 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1538 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,4377 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,3385 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,0231 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,4923 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,8769 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,2308 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -26,7500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 69,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6190 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,0298 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,9988 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,3371 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0839 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1226 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4541 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,0033 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21648
API ID
15313334
Gamdom ID
571489
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21648,
"api_id": 15313334,
"gamdom_id": 571489,
"player1": "Katie Boulter",
"player2": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T22:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.79,
"p2": 2.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.77,
"p2": 2.03
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5361,
"prob_p2": 0.4639,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5361,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 113,
"utr_singles": 12.09,
"utr_ranking": 83,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 110,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 106,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.03703703703704,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 83,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 106,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.45411764705882346,
"utr_diff": 0.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 1.0660377358490567,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 59,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.492307692307698,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -42.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
"surface_wr_p2": 37.03703703703704,
"utr_advantage": 2.0033388981636078,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 40,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.06394872460027351,
"rank_advantage": 7,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.2706552706552685,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.8769230769230774,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.437692307692309,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6190476190476191,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.43333333333333335,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.230769230769231,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.3384615384615444,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.029806944956649,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.998834679107869,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.3370516823661138,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 38.70967741935484,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.0230769230769283,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9629629629629629,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -26.75,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 69,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08392307692307693,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12262962962962959,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.0842293906810045,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}