Alexei Popyrin vs Quentin Halys
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 10:20
05 Ene 2026, 10:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexei Popyrin
Alexei …: 62,2%
Quentin …: 37,9%
¿Por qué Alexei Popyrin?
UTR 15,09 vs 14,75
(+0,49)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexei … | Quentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,56 | 2,45 | 64,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,61 | 2,64 | 62,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexei …: +5,3%
Quentin …: -5,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexei Popyrin
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
7/21 = 33,3%
Quentin Halys
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#120
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
13/33 = 39,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7170 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5406 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 331,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,0606 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,8595 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6364 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 39,3939 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 36,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,5405 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,5253 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,9316 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,5922 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,3502 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,8437 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0909 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -70,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -58,4460 | |
| current_streak_diff | -7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 63,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9904 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9620 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8889 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6875 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,4966 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,7214 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,2762 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2047 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0681 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,2634 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21659
API ID
15313777
Gamdom ID
571624
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21659,
"api_id": 15313777,
"gamdom_id": 571624,
"player1": "Alexei Popyrin",
"player2": "Quentin Halys",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T06:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.56,
"p2": 2.45
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.55,
"p2": 2.42
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6215,
"prob_p2": 0.3785,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6215,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 50,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 82,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 120,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.09,
"ranking": 82,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 120,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8541176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.796470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.4900000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 1.7169811320754718,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 331,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.350216450216443,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -70.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 39.39393939393939,
"utr_advantage": 3.263403263403265,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 27,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5405675929647282,
"rank_advantage": 38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8888888888888888,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.060606060606062,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.843722943722945,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.525281385281389,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9903846153846154,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9619565217391305,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.0909090909090917,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"current_streak_diff": -7,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.9316017316017309,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.496615780655422,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.72135281982502,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.276167230089263,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.54054054054054,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.59220779220778,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6363636363636364,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -58.44600000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 63,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20466666666666677,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06806060606060604,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.859459459459459,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}