Alexei Popyrin vs Quentin Halys
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 10:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexei Popyrin
Alexei …: 62,2% Quentin …: 37,9%
¿Por qué Alexei Popyrin?
UTR 15,09 vs 14,75 (+0,49) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexei … Quentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,56 2,45 64,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,61 2,64 62,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexei …: +5,3% Quentin …: -5,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexei Popyrin
Ranking #50
UTR Rating 15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #82
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 7/21 = 33,3%
Quentin Halys
Ranking #83
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #120
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 13/33 = 39,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 38,0000
rank_ratio 1,7170
log_rank_ratio 0,5406
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 331,0000
best_rank_diff 27,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,0606
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,8595
surface_matches_ratio 0,6364
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 39,3939
surface_wr_p1_stable 36,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,5405
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,5253
first_serve_won_diff -1,9316
second_serve_won_diff -4,5922
bp_saved_diff 6,3502
bp_converted_diff -8,8437
aces_per_match_diff -2,0909
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -70,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -58,4460
current_streak_diff -7,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 63,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9904
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9620
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8889
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6875
serve_consistency_p1 6,4966
serve_consistency_p2 4,7214
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,2762
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2047
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0681
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4900
utr_p1 0,8541
utr_p2 0,7965
utr_advantage 3,2634
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21659
API ID 15313777
Gamdom ID 571624
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21659,
    "api_id": 15313777,
    "gamdom_id": 571624,
    "player1": "Alexei Popyrin",
    "player2": "Quentin Halys",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T06:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.45
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.42
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6215,
    "prob_p2": 0.3785,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6215,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 50,
      "utr_singles": 15.09,
      "utr_ranking": 82,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 83,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 120,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.09,
      "ranking": 82,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 120,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8541176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.796470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.4900000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7169811320754718,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 331,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.350216450216443,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -70.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 39.39393939393939,
    "utr_advantage": 3.263403263403265,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 27,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5405675929647282,
    "rank_advantage": 38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8888888888888888,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.060606060606062,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.843722943722945,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.525281385281389,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9903846153846154,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9619565217391305,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.0909090909090917,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": -7,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.9316017316017309,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.496615780655422,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.72135281982502,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.276167230089263,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.54054054054054,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.59220779220778,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6363636363636364,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -58.44600000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 63,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20466666666666677,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06806060606060604,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.859459459459459,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}