Reilly Opelka vs Dane Sweeny
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Reilly Opelka
Reilly …: 59,2% Dane …: 40,8%
¿Por qué Reilly Opelka?
UTR 15,11 vs 14,51 (+0,94) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Reilly … Dane … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,38 63,7%
Gamdom 1,58 2,40 63,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,69 2,45 59,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Reilly …: -1,1% Dane …: +1,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Reilly Opelka
Ranking #63
UTR Rating 15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Dane Sweeny
Ranking #182
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 130,0000
rank_ratio 3,5000
log_rank_ratio 1,2528
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 693,0000
best_rank_diff 164,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,7571
surface_matches_ratio 2,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 53,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,9744
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,6316
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,7500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 33,7067
first_serve_won_diff 13,6143
second_serve_won_diff 3,4429
bp_saved_diff 23,0857
bp_converted_diff -4,2857
aces_per_match_diff 12,9333
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,3500
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 79,5918
momentum_diff -57,5918
weighted_momentum_diff -43,9200
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 62,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0341
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,3453
serve_consistency_p2 6,0167
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,3518
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0300
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1633
elite_surface_amplifier 6,6667
UTR
utr_diff 0,9400
utr_p1 0,8412
utr_p2 0,7306
utr_advantage 6,4033
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21664
API ID 15313782
Gamdom ID 571622
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
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  "match": {
    "id": 21664,
    "api_id": 15313782,
    "gamdom_id": 571622,
    "player1": "Reilly Opelka",
    "player2": "Dane Sweeny",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T06:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5916,
    "prob_p2": 0.4084,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5916,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 63,
      "utr_singles": 15.11,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 14.51,
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      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
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      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
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    "aces_per_match_diff": 12.933333333333334,
    "combined_confidence": 0.75,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 13.614285714285714,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
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    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.345328661852122,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}