Rinky Hijikata vs Adam Walton
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 12:00
06 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rinky Hijikata
Rinky …: 50,6%
Adam …: 49,4%
¿Por qué Rinky Hijikata?
UTR 14,82 vs 14,69
(-0,33)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rinky … | Adam … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,75 | 2,09 | 57,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,98 | 2,02 | 50,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rinky …: +0,6%
Adam …: -0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rinky Hijikata
Ranking
#114
UTR Rating
14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/47 = 55,3%
Adam Walton
Ranking
#81
UTR Rating
14,69 Pro
UTR Ranking
#130
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
28/54 = 51,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -35,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6903 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3707 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -186,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 12,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,4673 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,1778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8704 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,3191 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,9020 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,7241 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 54,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1064 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,0095 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,1842 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,9793 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,4604 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,7050 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6056 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 48,5850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 63,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7258 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9588 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,2040 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,5700 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,2853 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0882 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0165 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7953 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,2610 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21665
API ID
15313778
Gamdom ID
571627
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21665,
"api_id": 15313778,
"gamdom_id": 571627,
"player1": "Rinky Hijikata",
"player2": "Adam Walton",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.75,
"p2": 2.09
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5059,
"prob_p2": 0.4941,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5059,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 114,
"utr_singles": 14.82,
"utr_ranking": 110,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.319148936170215,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 81,
"utr_singles": 14.69,
"utr_ranking": 130,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 54,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 110,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.69,
"ranking": 130,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7952941176470588,
"utr_diff": -0.33000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.6902654867256637,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -186,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.460362490149734,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 60.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.319148936170215,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.85185185185185,
"utr_advantage": -2.2610483042137726,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 12,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3706789920227489,
"rank_advantage": -35,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.4672970843183677,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.70496453900709,
"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 54,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.009527186761225,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7258064516129032,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9587628865979382,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.605594956658786,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.184239558707631,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10638297872340426,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.20396284664687,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.570028052659685,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.2852541882585486,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.90196078431373,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.724137931034484,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.9792750197005589,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8703703703703703,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 48.585000000000015,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 63,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08819148936170218,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.01648148148148154,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.1778228532792454,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}