Alejandro Tabilo vs Yi Zhou
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 07:00
05 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Tabilo
Alejandro …: 71,7%
Yi …: 28,3%
¿Por qué Alejandro Tabilo?
UTR 15,06 vs 14,54
(+0,68)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alejandro … | Yi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,64 | 2,12 | 61,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,40 | 3,53 | 71,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alejandro …: +7,2%
Yi …: -7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking
#79
UTR Rating
15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/28 = 53,6%
Yi Zhou
Ranking
#238
UTR Rating
14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#157
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
44% (9p)
WR Hard
21/41 = 51,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 168,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,0488 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1147 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 500,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 231,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,3519 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,9468 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6829 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,2195 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,1250 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0714 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,6067 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,9929 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,6929 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,2571 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,9591 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 19,0450 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7586 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,5076 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5957 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,6218 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1323 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1802 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4,7038 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7635 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,5853 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21666
API ID
15313739
Gamdom ID
571657
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21666,
"api_id": 15313739,
"gamdom_id": 571657,
"player1": "Alejandro Tabilo",
"player2": "Yi Zhou",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-05T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.64,
"p2": 2.12
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.66,
"p2": 2.16
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7168,
"prob_p2": 0.2832,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7168,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 79,
"utr_singles": 15.06,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 238,
"utr_singles": 14.54,
"utr_ranking": 157,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 44.44444444444444,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.06,
"ranking": 85,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.54,
"ranking": 157,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8435294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.6799999999999997,
"rank_ratio": 3.048780487804878,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 500,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.257142857142867,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.21951219512195,
"utr_advantage": 4.5853000674308815,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 231,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1147416705979933,
"rank_advantage": 168,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.351916376306619,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.400000000000006,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.6066898954703817,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7586206896551724,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.9590592334494774,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.9928571428571331,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07142857142857142,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.50759699057942,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.595691229303264,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.621779190430819,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.125,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.11111111111111,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.692857142857143,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6829268292682927,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 19.045000000000016,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.703832752613238,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13228571428571423,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18019512195121945,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.946759259259263,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}