Alejandro Tabilo vs Yi Zhou
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Tabilo
Alejandro …: 71,7% Yi …: 28,3%
¿Por qué Alejandro Tabilo?
UTR 15,06 vs 14,54 (+0,68) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alejandro … Yi … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,64 2,12 61,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,40 3,53 71,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Alejandro …: +7,2% Yi …: -7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking #79
UTR Rating 15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/28 = 53,6%
Yi Zhou
Ranking #238
UTR Rating 14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #157
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 44% (9p)
WR Hard 21/41 = 51,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 168,0000
rank_ratio 3,0488
log_rank_ratio 1,1147
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 500,0000
best_rank_diff 231,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,3519
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,9468
surface_matches_ratio 0,6829
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,5714
surface_wr_p2 51,2195
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,1250
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,1111
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 41,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0714
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,6067
first_serve_won_diff 0,9929
second_serve_won_diff -2,6929
bp_saved_diff 6,2571
bp_converted_diff -8,4000
aces_per_match_diff 1,9591
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 19,0450
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7586
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5263
serve_consistency_p1 5,5076
serve_consistency_p2 7,5957
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,6218
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1323
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1802
elite_surface_amplifier 4,7038
UTR
utr_diff 0,6800
utr_p1 0,8435
utr_p2 0,7635
utr_advantage 4,5853
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21666
API ID 15313739
Gamdom ID 571657
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21666,
    "api_id": 15313739,
    "gamdom_id": 571657,
    "player1": "Alejandro Tabilo",
    "player2": "Yi Zhou",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-05T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.64,
      "p2": 2.12
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.66,
      "p2": 2.16
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7168,
    "prob_p2": 0.2832,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7168,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 79,
      "utr_singles": 15.06,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 238,
      "utr_singles": 14.54,
      "utr_ranking": 157,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 44.44444444444444,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.06,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.54,
      "ranking": 157,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8435294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.6799999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 3.048780487804878,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 500,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.257142857142867,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.21951219512195,
    "utr_advantage": 4.5853000674308815,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 231,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.1147416705979933,
    "rank_advantage": 168,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.351916376306619,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.400000000000006,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.6066898954703817,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7586206896551724,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.9590592334494774,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.9928571428571331,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07142857142857142,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.50759699057942,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.595691229303264,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.621779190430819,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.125,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.11111111111111,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.692857142857143,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6829268292682927,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 19.045000000000016,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 4.703832752613238,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13228571428571423,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18019512195121945,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.946759259259263,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}