Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Diana Shnaider
Diana …: 55,0% Anastasia …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Diana Shnaider?
UTR 12,43 vs 12,10 (+0,14) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Diana … Anastasia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,30 61,7%
Gamdom 1,65 2,30 60,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 55,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Diana …: -3,7% Anastasia …: +3,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Diana Shnaider
Ranking #22
UTR Rating 12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/31 = 51,6%
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #78
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 29,0000
rank_ratio 2,3810
log_rank_ratio 0,8675
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 735,0000
best_rank_diff 10,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,0078
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,0447
surface_matches_ratio 1,0690
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,6129
surface_wr_p2 58,6207
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,5758
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,9241
first_serve_won_diff -3,3276
second_serve_won_diff -0,9828
bp_saved_diff 0,7966
bp_converted_diff 5,5310
aces_per_match_diff -0,4828
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -23,8500
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 75,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8855
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6639
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 11,6434
serve_consistency_p2 10,4157
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,0793
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0129
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1152
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1400
utr_p1 0,5094
utr_p2 0,4929
utr_advantage 1,1419
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21668
API ID 15302215
Gamdom ID 564697
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21668,
    "api_id": 15302215,
    "gamdom_id": 564697,
    "player1": "Diana Shnaider",
    "player2": "Anastasia Potapova",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T02:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.64,
      "p2": 2.22
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.55,
    "prob_p2": 0.45,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.55,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 22,
      "utr_singles": 12.43,
      "utr_ranking": 29,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 12.1,
      "utr_ranking": 78,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 12.43,
      "ranking": 29,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.1,
      "ranking": 78,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
    "utr_diff": 0.14000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 2.380952380952381,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 735,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.7965517241379274,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.61290322580645,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.620689655172406,
    "utr_advantage": 1.1419249592169702,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 10,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8675005677047231,
    "rank_advantage": 29,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.007786429365957,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.531034482758621,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.9241379310344797,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8854961832061069,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6638655462184874,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.48275862068965525,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.327586206896548,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.64342440321191,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.415683407778687,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.079258705828422,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.9827586206896584,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0689655172413792,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -23.85000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 75,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.012870967741935524,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11520689655172411,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.044733044733052,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}