Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 06:35
06 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Diana Shnaider
Diana …: 55,0%
Anastasia …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Diana Shnaider?
UTR 12,43 vs 12,10
(+0,14)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Diana … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,65 | 2,30 | 60,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,22 | 55,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Diana …: -3,7%
Anastasia …: +3,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Diana Shnaider
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,3810 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8675 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 735,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,0078 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,0447 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0690 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,6207 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,5758 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,9241 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,3276 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,9828 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,7966 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,5310 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4828 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,8500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8855 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6639 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,6434 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,4157 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,0793 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0129 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1152 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4929 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,1419 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21668
API ID
15302215
Gamdom ID
564697
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21668,
"api_id": 15302215,
"gamdom_id": 564697,
"player1": "Diana Shnaider",
"player2": "Anastasia Potapova",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T02:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.64,
"p2": 2.22
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.55,
"prob_p2": 0.45,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.55,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 78,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_diff": 0.14000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 2.380952380952381,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 735,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.7965517241379274,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.620689655172406,
"utr_advantage": 1.1419249592169702,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 10,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8675005677047231,
"rank_advantage": 29,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.007786429365957,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.531034482758621,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.9241379310344797,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8854961832061069,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6638655462184874,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.48275862068965525,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.327586206896548,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.64342440321191,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.415683407778687,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.079258705828422,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.9827586206896584,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0689655172413792,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.85000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 75,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.012870967741935524,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11520689655172411,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.044733044733052,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}