Himeno Sakatsume vs Mary Stoiana
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 03:30
05 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Himeno …: 72,7%
Mary …: 27,3%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 12,04 vs 11,77
(-0,02)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Himeno … | Mary … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,69 | 2,05 | 59,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,37 | 3,67 | 72,7% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#94
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Mary Stoiana
Ranking
#222
UTR Rating
11,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#173
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 71,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4551 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3751 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 139,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 72,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 18,1347 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 7,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,3247 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,3914 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 13,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -48,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,2857 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,6490 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,6370 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,8191 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 21,4339 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0004 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4290 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 57,1429 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4424 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,1702 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21670
API ID
15313465
Gamdom ID
571512
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21670,
"api_id": 15313465,
"gamdom_id": 571512,
"player1": "Himeno Sakatsume",
"player2": "Mary Stoiana",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-04T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.69,
"p2": 2.05
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.69,
"p2": 2.1
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7273,
"prob_p2": 0.2727,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7273,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 94,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 222,
"utr_singles": 11.77,
"utr_ranking": 173,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 94,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.77,
"ranking": 173,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.44,
"utr_p2": 0.44235294117647056,
"utr_diff": -0.019999999999999574,
"rank_ratio": 1.455128205128205,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 139,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.799999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -0.1702127659574432,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 72,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.37509401023186556,
"rank_advantage": 71,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 57.14285714285714,
"bp_converted_diff": -48.4,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.391428571428563,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.2857142857142856,
"combined_confidence": 0.3533333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 13.899999999999991,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.6369706938729465,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.819133929002273,
"surface_rank_synergy": 21.433943441820887,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.100000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 7.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.649000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 57.14285714285714,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0004285714285714448,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.42900000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.13471861471861,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}