Himeno Sakatsume vs Mary Stoiana
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Himeno …: 72,7% Mary …: 27,3%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 12,04 vs 11,77 (-0,02) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Himeno … Mary … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,69 2,05 59,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,37 3,67 72,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking #140
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #94
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/7 = 57,1%
Mary Stoiana
Ranking #222
UTR Rating 11,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #173
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 71,0000
rank_ratio 1,4551
log_rank_ratio 0,3751
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 139,0000
best_rank_diff 72,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 57,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 18,1347
surface_matches_ratio 7,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,1429
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,3247
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,3914
first_serve_won_diff 13,9000
second_serve_won_diff -7,1000
bp_saved_diff -2,8000
bp_converted_diff -48,4000
aces_per_match_diff 3,2857
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -9,6490
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,6370
serve_consistency_p2 13,8191
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21,4339
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0004
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4290
elite_surface_amplifier 57,1429
UTR
utr_diff -0,0200
utr_p1 0,4400
utr_p2 0,4424
utr_advantage -0,1702
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21670
API ID 15313465
Gamdom ID 571512
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21670,
    "api_id": 15313465,
    "gamdom_id": 571512,
    "player1": "Himeno Sakatsume",
    "player2": "Mary Stoiana",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-04T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.69,
      "p2": 2.05
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.69,
      "p2": 2.1
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7273,
    "prob_p2": 0.2727,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7273,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 140,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 94,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 222,
      "utr_singles": 11.77,
      "utr_ranking": 173,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 94,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.77,
      "ranking": 173,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.44,
    "utr_p2": 0.44235294117647056,
    "utr_diff": -0.019999999999999574,
    "rank_ratio": 1.455128205128205,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 139,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.799999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.1702127659574432,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 72,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.37509401023186556,
    "rank_advantage": 71,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 57.14285714285714,
    "bp_converted_diff": -48.4,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.391428571428563,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.2857142857142856,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3533333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 13.899999999999991,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.6369706938729465,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.819133929002273,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.433943441820887,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.100000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 7.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -9.649000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 57.14285714285714,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0004285714285714448,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.42900000000000005,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.13471861471861,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}