Emilio Nava vs Laslo Djere
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 09:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emilio Nava
Emilio …: 63,0% Laslo …: 37,0%
¿Por qué Emilio Nava?
UTR 14,99 vs 15,11 (-0,29) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Emilio … Laslo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 1,66 2,09 60,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,59 2,70 63,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Emilio …: +4,1% Laslo …: -4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emilio Nava
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #92
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Laslo Djere
Ranking #92
UTR Rating 15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 4/12 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 10,0000
rank_ratio 1,1136
log_rank_ratio 0,1076
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 25,0000
best_rank_diff -61,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,2632
surface_matches_ratio 1,2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,5000
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,1142
first_serve_won_diff 3,1250
second_serve_won_diff -1,7167
bp_saved_diff 5,2583
bp_converted_diff -0,3583
aces_per_match_diff 3,5333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6,4050
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6585
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 7,9492
serve_consistency_p2 6,3178
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,1526
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0233
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1567
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2900
utr_p1 0,8118
utr_p2 0,8459
utr_advantage -1,9276
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21672
API ID 15313855
Gamdom ID 571817
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21672,
    "api_id": 15313855,
    "gamdom_id": 571817,
    "player1": "Emilio Nava",
    "player2": "Laslo Djere",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-05T05:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.66,
      "p2": 2.09
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6299,
    "prob_p2": 0.3701,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6299,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 14.99,
      "utr_ranking": 92,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 92,
      "utr_singles": 15.11,
      "utr_ranking": 79,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.99,
      "ranking": 92,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.11,
      "ranking": 79,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8117647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.8458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": -0.28999999999999915,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1136363636363635,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 25,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.258333333333326,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 14.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": -1.9275506812894594,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -61,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.10763066419236536,
    "rank_advantage": 10,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 20.000000000000007,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.3583333333333343,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.114166666666655,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6585365853658537,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.5333333333333323,
    "combined_confidence": 0.48,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.125,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.949221372410366,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.317774336513991,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.152613283847308,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.7166666666666615,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.405000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.023333333333333317,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.15666666666666673,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.26315789473684,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}