Emilio Nava vs Laslo Djere
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 09:25
05 Ene 2026, 09:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emilio Nava
Emilio …: 63,0%
Laslo …: 37,0%
¿Por qué Emilio Nava?
UTR 14,99 vs 15,11
(-0,29)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emilio … | Laslo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,66 | 2,09 | 60,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,59 | 2,70 | 63,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Emilio …: +4,1%
Laslo …: -4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emilio Nava
Ranking
#89
UTR Rating
14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/15 = 53,3%
Laslo Djere
Ranking
#92
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
4/12 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1136 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1076 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 25,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -61,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,2632 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,1142 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,1250 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7167 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,2583 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,3583 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,5333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,4050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6585 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,9492 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3178 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,1526 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0233 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1567 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8118 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8459 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,9276 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21672
API ID
15313855
Gamdom ID
571817
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21672,
"api_id": 15313855,
"gamdom_id": 571817,
"player1": "Emilio Nava",
"player2": "Laslo Djere",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-05T05:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.66,
"p2": 2.09
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.15
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6299,
"prob_p2": 0.3701,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6299,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": 14.99,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 92,
"utr_singles": 15.11,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.99,
"ranking": 92,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.11,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8458823529411764,
"utr_diff": -0.28999999999999915,
"rank_ratio": 1.1136363636363635,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 25,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.258333333333326,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 14.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": -1.9275506812894594,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -61,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.10763066419236536,
"rank_advantage": 10,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 20.000000000000007,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.3583333333333343,
"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.114166666666655,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6585365853658537,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.5333333333333323,
"combined_confidence": 0.48,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.125,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.949221372410366,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.317774336513991,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.152613283847308,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.7166666666666615,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.405000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.023333333333333317,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.15666666666666673,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.26315789473684,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}