Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 09:10
05 Ene 2026, 09:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nishesh Basavareddy
Jan-Lennard …: 41,3%
Nishesh …: 58,7%
¿Por qué Nishesh Basavareddy?
UTR 15,12 vs 15,04
(-0,03)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jan-Lennard … | Nishesh … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,05 | 1,69 | 48,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,42 | 1,70 | 41,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jan-Lennard …: -14,4%
Nishesh …: +14,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking
#86
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Nishesh Basavareddy
Ranking
#242
UTR Rating
15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
21/37 = 56,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 84,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0120 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6992 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 362,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 78,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,4491 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,9133 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7027 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,0976 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1538 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,9385 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,4652 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,4460 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,9635 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,9180 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,9699 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,7100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0606 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6471 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4357 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3534 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -10,1021 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1609 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1516 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -14,4491 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8435 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,1980 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21673
API ID
15314127
Gamdom ID
572003
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21673,
"api_id": 15314127,
"gamdom_id": 572003,
"player1": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
"player2": "Nishesh Basavareddy",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-05T05:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.05,
"p2": 1.69
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.06,
"p2": 1.72
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4132,
"prob_p2": 0.5868,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5868,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 86,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 242,
"utr_singles": 15.04,
"utr_ranking": 82,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.12,
"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.04,
"ranking": 82,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_p2": 0.8435294117647059,
"utr_diff": -0.02999999999999936,
"rank_ratio": 2.0120481927710845,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 362,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.9635135135135187,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.75675675675676,
"utr_advantage": -0.19795447047178724,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 78,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6991532046201573,
"rank_advantage": 84,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.449064449064451,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.917983367983375,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.938482328482337,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0606060606060606,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6470588235294118,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.969854469854471,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.4651767151767388,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.435748893299705,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.35337789846977,
"surface_rank_synergy": -10.102109713326598,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.09756097560976,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.4460498960498924,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7027027027027027,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.7099999999999937,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -14.449064449064451,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.160923076923077,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15156756756756762,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.91327913279133,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}