Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 09:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nishesh Basavareddy
Jan-Lennard …: 41,3% Nishesh …: 58,7%
¿Por qué Nishesh Basavareddy?
UTR 15,12 vs 15,04 (-0,03) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jan-Lennard … Nishesh … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 60,0%
Gamdom 2,05 1,69 48,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,42 1,70 41,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Jan-Lennard …: -14,4% Nishesh …: +14,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking #86
UTR Rating 15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Nishesh Basavareddy
Ranking #242
UTR Rating 15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #82
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 21/37 = 56,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 84,0000
rank_ratio 2,0120
log_rank_ratio 0,6992
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 362,0000
best_rank_diff 78,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,4491
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,9133
surface_matches_ratio 0,7027
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,3077
surface_wr_p2 56,7568
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,0976
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1538
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,9385
first_serve_won_diff 3,4652
second_serve_won_diff -2,4460
bp_saved_diff -1,9635
bp_converted_diff -7,9180
aces_per_match_diff 4,9699
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,7100
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0606
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6471
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 7,4357
serve_consistency_p2 12,3534
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -10,1021
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1609
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1516
elite_surface_amplifier -14,4491
UTR
utr_diff -0,0300
utr_p1 0,8400
utr_p2 0,8435
utr_advantage -0,1980
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21673
API ID 15314127
Gamdom ID 572003
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21673,
    "api_id": 15314127,
    "gamdom_id": 572003,
    "player1": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
    "player2": "Nishesh Basavareddy",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-05T05:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6666666666666665,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.05,
      "p2": 1.69
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.06,
      "p2": 1.72
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4132,
    "prob_p2": 0.5868,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5868,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 86,
      "utr_singles": 15.12,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 242,
      "utr_singles": 15.04,
      "utr_ranking": 82,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.12,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.04,
      "ranking": 82,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8400000000000001,
    "utr_p2": 0.8435294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.02999999999999936,
    "rank_ratio": 2.0120481927710845,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 362,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.9635135135135187,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.75675675675676,
    "utr_advantage": -0.19795447047178724,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 78,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6991532046201573,
    "rank_advantage": 84,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -14.449064449064451,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.917983367983375,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.938482328482337,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0606060606060606,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6470588235294118,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.969854469854471,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.4651767151767388,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.435748893299705,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.35337789846977,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -10.102109713326598,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.09756097560976,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.4460498960498924,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7027027027027027,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.7099999999999937,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -14.449064449064451,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.160923076923077,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15156756756756762,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.91327913279133,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}