Vera Zvonareva vs Elvina Kalieva
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 06:00
05 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elvina Kalieva
Vera …: 29,2%
Elvina …: 70,8%
¿Por qué Elvina Kalieva?
UTR 11,43 vs 11,52
(-0,19)
— Niveles similares
Vera …
W13-L1
93% WR
vs UTR 10,3
W3
Elvina …
Sin datos
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Vera … | Elvina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,26 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,42 | 1,41 | 29,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Vera …: -26,6%
Elvina …: +26,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vera Zvonareva
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#293
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Elvina Kalieva
Ranking
#207
UTR Rating
11,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#259
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
3/5 = 60,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Vera Zvonareva
Record 2025
13W - 1L (93%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
10,3
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Elvina Kalieva
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -295,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4100 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8916 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -352,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -332,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,1164 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,3492 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -57,2200 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -65,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -65,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -65,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -29,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,4000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,5700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 16,0272 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 53,4959 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2050 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1950 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,6718 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21674
API ID
15314420
Gamdom ID
572242
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21674,
"api_id": 15314420,
"gamdom_id": 572242,
"player1": "Vera Zvonareva",
"player2": "Elvina Kalieva",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-05T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.26
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.36
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.292,
"prob_p2": 0.708,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.708,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.43,
"utr_ranking": 293,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 13,
"utr_v4_losses": 1,
"utr_v4_wr": 92.85714285714286,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.29,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.77,
"opponent_name": "Tara Wuerth"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Tereza Martincova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.24,
"opponent_name": "Sofya Lansere"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.92,
"opponent_name": "Edda Mamedova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Nina KRUIJER"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.621912+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 207,
"utr_singles": 11.52,
"utr_ranking": 259,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.43,
"ranking": 293,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.52,
"ranking": 259,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3847058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
"utr_diff": -0.19000000000000128,
"rank_ratio": 0.41,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": -352,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -65.6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 32.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": -1.6717993840739225,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -332,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8915981192837836,
"rank_advantage": -295,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -60.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -29.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": -57.22,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.4,
"combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -65.6,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 16.027200948622927,
"surface_rank_synergy": 53.49588715702702,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.34920634920635,
"second_serve_won_diff": -65.4,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.569999999999993,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20499999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.19500000000000006,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.116402116402116,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}