Vera Zvonareva vs Elvina Kalieva
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elvina Kalieva
Vera …: 29,2% Elvina …: 70,8%
¿Por qué Elvina Kalieva?
UTR 11,43 vs 11,52 (-0,19) — Niveles similares
Vera …
W13-L1
93% WR
vs UTR 10,3
W3
Elvina …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Vera … Elvina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 60,0%
Gamdom 1,57 2,26 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 3,42 1,41 29,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Vera …: -26,6% Elvina …: +26,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vera Zvonareva
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #293
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Elvina Kalieva
Ranking #207
UTR Rating 11,52 Pro
UTR Ranking #259
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 3/5 = 60,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Vera Zvonareva
Record 2025 13W - 1L (93%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 10,3
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Elvina Kalieva
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -295,0000
rank_ratio 0,4100
log_rank_ratio -0,8916
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -352,0000
best_rank_diff -332,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -60,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,1164
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,3492
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,3333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -57,2200
first_serve_won_diff -65,6000
second_serve_won_diff -65,4000
bp_saved_diff -65,6000
bp_converted_diff -29,0000
aces_per_match_diff -2,4000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 22,5700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 16,0272
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 53,4959
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2050
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1950
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1900
utr_p1 0,3847
utr_p2 0,4071
utr_advantage -1,6718
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21674
API ID 15314420
Gamdom ID 572242
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21674,
    "api_id": 15314420,
    "gamdom_id": 572242,
    "player1": "Vera Zvonareva",
    "player2": "Elvina Kalieva",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-05T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6666666666666665,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.26
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.292,
    "prob_p2": 0.708,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.708,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.43,
      "utr_ranking": 293,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 13,
      "utr_v4_losses": 1,
      "utr_v4_wr": 92.85714285714286,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.29,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.77,
          "opponent_name": "Tara Wuerth"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tereza Martincova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.24,
          "opponent_name": "Sofya Lansere"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.92,
          "opponent_name": "Edda Mamedova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nina KRUIJER"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.621912+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 207,
      "utr_singles": 11.52,
      "utr_ranking": 259,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.43,
      "ranking": 293,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.52,
      "ranking": 259,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3847058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": -0.19000000000000128,
    "rank_ratio": 0.41,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -352,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -65.6,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.6717993840739225,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -332,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8915981192837836,
    "rank_advantage": -295,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -60.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -29.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": -57.22,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.4,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -65.6,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 16.027200948622927,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 53.49588715702702,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.34920634920635,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -65.4,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 22.569999999999993,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20499999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.19500000000000006,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.116402116402116,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}