Polina Iatcenko vs Ena Shibahara
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Iatcenko
Polina …: 86,7%
Ena …: 13,3%
¿Por qué Polina Iatcenko?
UTR 11,97 vs 11,83
(+0,05)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Polina … | Ena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,65 | 2,12 | 60,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,15 | 7,51 | 86,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Polina …: +33,0%
Ena …: -33,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Polina Iatcenko
Ranking
#159
UTR Rating
11,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#115
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
8/10 = 80,0%
Ena Shibahara
Ranking
#192
UTR Rating
11,83 Pro
UTR Ranking
#146
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 24,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1420 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1328 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 58,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -48,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 37,6923 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 18,2619 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3846 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 71,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,6000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -56,7123 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -64,0346 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -57,1885 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -55,2692 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -45,0462 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,7692 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 20,8790 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,2472 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,9228 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,0052 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2760 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0529 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4518 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,4214 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21675
API ID
15314018
Gamdom ID
571966
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21675,
"api_id": 15314018,
"gamdom_id": 571966,
"player1": "Polina Iatcenko",
"player2": "Ena Shibahara",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-05T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.12
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8668,
"prob_p2": 0.1332,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8668,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 159,
"utr_singles": 11.97,
"utr_ranking": 115,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 80.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 192,
"utr_singles": 11.83,
"utr_ranking": 146,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.97,
"ranking": 115,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.83,
"ranking": 146,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4517647058823529,
"utr_diff": 0.05000000000000071,
"rank_ratio": 1.1420118343195267,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 58,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -55.26923076923077,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 28.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 80.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
"utr_advantage": 0.42140750105352476,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -48,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.13279147398181212,
"rank_advantage": 24,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 37.69230769230769,
"bp_converted_diff": -45.04615384615384,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": -56.7123076923077,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.769230769230769,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -64.03461538461539,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.247171133398387,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.922827743825048,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.005217096237534,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -57.18846153846153,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.38461538461538464,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 20.879000000000012,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.276,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.052923076923076906,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.261904761904763,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}