Teodora Kostovic vs Elena Pridankina
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 05:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elena Pridankina
Teodora …: 49,6% Elena …: 50,4%
¿Por qué Elena Pridankina?
UTR 11,74 vs 11,57 (+0,13) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Teodora … Elena … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 1,90 1,81 52,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,02 1,98 49,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Teodora …: -0,4% Elena …: +0,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Teodora Kostovic
Ranking #177
UTR Rating 11,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #172
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 2/6 = 33,3%
Elena Pridankina
Ranking #190
UTR Rating 11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #225
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 7/15 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 13,0000
rank_ratio 1,0734
log_rank_ratio 0,0709
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 15,0000
best_rank_diff -9,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,8954
surface_matches_ratio 0,4000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 46,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,3684
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,4400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,6533
first_serve_won_diff 0,3667
second_serve_won_diff -0,5667
bp_saved_diff -9,5000
bp_converted_diff 6,9333
aces_per_match_diff -0,3333
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -15,4800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 6,8335
serve_consistency_p2 11,8169
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,9450
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1797
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0203
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1300
utr_p1 0,4388
utr_p2 0,4235
utr_advantage 1,1144
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21676
API ID 15314019
Gamdom ID 571967
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21676,
    "api_id": 15314019,
    "gamdom_id": 571967,
    "player1": "Teodora Kostovic",
    "player2": "Elena Pridankina",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-05T01:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.9,
      "p2": 1.81
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.95,
      "p2": 1.79
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4959,
    "prob_p2": 0.5041,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5041,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 177,
      "utr_singles": 11.74,
      "utr_ranking": 172,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 190,
      "utr_singles": 11.57,
      "utr_ranking": 225,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.74,
      "ranking": 172,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.57,
      "ranking": 225,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4388235294117648,
    "utr_p2": 0.4235294117647058,
    "utr_diff": 0.13000000000000078,
    "rank_ratio": 1.073446327683616,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 15,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -9.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -20.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 1.1144449207029643,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -9,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.07087433958665709,
    "rank_advantage": 13,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.93333333333333,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 15,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.653333333333336,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.3333333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.36666666666666714,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.833460849978075,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.816890388747698,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.9449911944887615,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.368421052631575,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.56666666666667,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -15.480000000000011,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17966666666666675,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02033333333333337,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.8954385964912254,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}