Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Anouk Koevermans
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ekaterine …: 56,4% Anouk …: 43,6%
¿Por qué Ekaterine Gorgodze?
UTR 11,63 vs 11,56 (+0,03) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ekaterine … Anouk … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
Gamdom 1,94 1,77 51,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,77 2,29 56,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Ekaterine …: +10,1% Anouk …: -10,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ranking #169
UTR Rating 11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #202
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Anouk Koevermans
Ranking #194
UTR Rating 11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #232
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 15,0000
rank_ratio 1,0838
log_rank_ratio 0,0805
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 22,0000
best_rank_diff 59,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,3259
surface_matches_ratio 0,4000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 36,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,6068
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,3467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11,7000
first_serve_won_diff -13,9000
second_serve_won_diff 9,5000
bp_saved_diff -20,0000
bp_converted_diff -14,0000
aces_per_match_diff -3,8000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,2760
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,0418
serve_consistency_p2 9,4705
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,8047
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0150
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0850
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0300
utr_p1 0,4200
utr_p2 0,4165
utr_advantage 0,2596
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21679
API ID 15314652
Gamdom ID 572564
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21679,
    "api_id": 15314652,
    "gamdom_id": 572564,
    "player1": "Ekaterine Gorgodze",
    "player2": "Anouk Koevermans",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-05T05:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.94,
      "p2": 1.77
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.98,
      "p2": 1.77
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.564,
    "prob_p2": 0.436,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.564,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 169,
      "utr_singles": 11.63,
      "utr_ranking": 202,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 194,
      "utr_singles": 11.56,
      "utr_ranking": 232,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.63,
      "ranking": 202,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.56,
      "ranking": 232,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.42000000000000004,
    "utr_p2": 0.41647058823529404,
    "utr_diff": 0.030000000000001137,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0837988826815643,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 22,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -20.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.2596278667243716,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 59,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0804723532225732,
    "rank_advantage": 15,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -14.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": -11.699999999999996,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.8,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -13.899999999999991,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.041766904443565,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.470468682385503,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.804723532225732,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.60683760683761,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 9.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.27599999999999625,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.015000000000000013,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08499999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.32592592592592723,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}