Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Anouk Koevermans
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Final
05 Ene 2026, 09:30
05 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ekaterine …: 56,4%
Anouk …: 43,6%
¿Por qué Ekaterine Gorgodze?
UTR 11,63 vs 11,56
(+0,03)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ekaterine … | Anouk … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,94 | 1,77 | 51,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,77 | 2,29 | 56,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ekaterine …: +10,1%
Anouk …: -10,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ranking
#169
UTR Rating
11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#202
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Anouk Koevermans
Ranking
#194
UTR Rating
11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#232
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 15,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0838 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0805 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 22,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 59,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,3259 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 36,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,6068 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11,7000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -13,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 9,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -20,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -14,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,8000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,2760 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0418 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4705 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,8047 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0150 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0850 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4200 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4165 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,2596 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21679
API ID
15314652
Gamdom ID
572564
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21679,
"api_id": 15314652,
"gamdom_id": 572564,
"player1": "Ekaterine Gorgodze",
"player2": "Anouk Koevermans",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-05T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.94,
"p2": 1.77
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.98,
"p2": 1.77
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.564,
"prob_p2": 0.436,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.564,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 169,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 202,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 194,
"utr_singles": 11.56,
"utr_ranking": 232,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.63,
"ranking": 202,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.56,
"ranking": 232,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.42000000000000004,
"utr_p2": 0.41647058823529404,
"utr_diff": 0.030000000000001137,
"rank_ratio": 1.0837988826815643,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 22,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -20.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.2596278667243716,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 59,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0804723532225732,
"rank_advantage": 15,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -14.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": -11.699999999999996,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.8,
"combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -13.899999999999991,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.041766904443565,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.470468682385503,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.804723532225732,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.60683760683761,
"second_serve_won_diff": 9.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.27599999999999625,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.015000000000000013,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08499999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.32592592592592723,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}