Hubert Hurkacz vs Tallon Griekspoor
United Cup | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert …: 70,7% Tallon …: 29,3%
¿Por qué Hubert Hurkacz?
UTR 15,65 vs 15,27 (+0,29) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hubert … Tallon … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,2%
Gamdom 1,42 2,90 70,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,41 3,42 70,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Hubert …: +5,2% Tallon …: -5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 7/14 = 50,0%
Tallon Griekspoor
Ranking #26
UTR Rating 15,27 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -46,0000
rank_ratio 0,3611
log_rank_ratio -1,0186
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -800,0000
best_rank_diff 15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,6129
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,0619
surface_matches_ratio 0,4516
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 48,3871
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,5714
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,1674
first_serve_won_diff 1,1811
second_serve_won_diff -0,1203
bp_saved_diff -2,0097
bp_converted_diff 2,7763
aces_per_match_diff 2,8065
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14,4010
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 209,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2167
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7363
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6522
serve_consistency_p1 8,9376
serve_consistency_p2 6,4335
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,6429
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0460
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0621
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2900
utr_p1 0,9106
utr_p2 0,8765
utr_advantage 1,8596
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21692
API ID 15141984
Gamdom ID 479641
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21692,
    "api_id": 15141984,
    "gamdom_id": 479641,
    "player1": "Hubert Hurkacz",
    "player2": "Tallon Griekspoor",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-06T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.9
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.76
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7073,
    "prob_p2": 0.2927,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7073,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 15.65,
      "utr_ranking": 14,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 26,
      "utr_singles": 15.27,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.65,
      "ranking": 14,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.27,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9105882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.2900000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3611111111111111,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -800,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.009677419354844,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 21.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
    "utr_advantage": 1.8595703751202368,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0185695809945732,
    "rank_advantage": -46,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6521739130434783,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.6129032258064484,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.7762672811059907,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.167373271889389,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2166666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7362637362637363,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.806451612903226,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.1811059907833936,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.937631795733736,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.433496334201395,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.6428541628944695,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.1202764976958548,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.45161290322580644,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.400999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 209,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04600000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06212903225806454,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.0619047619047635,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}