Hubert Hurkacz vs Tallon Griekspoor
United Cup | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 03:30
07 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert …: 70,7%
Tallon …: 29,3%
¿Por qué Hubert Hurkacz?
UTR 15,65 vs 15,27
(+0,29)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hubert … | Tallon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,42 | 2,90 | 70,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,41 | 3,42 | 70,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hubert …: +5,2%
Tallon …: -5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
7/14 = 50,0%
Tallon Griekspoor
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
15,27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -46,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3611 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0186 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -800,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,6129 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,0619 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4516 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,1674 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,1811 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,1203 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,0097 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,7763 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,8065 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14,4010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 209,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2167 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7363 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6522 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,9376 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4335 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,6429 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0460 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0621 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9106 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,8596 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21692
API ID
15141984
Gamdom ID
479641
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21692,
"api_id": 15141984,
"gamdom_id": 479641,
"player1": "Hubert Hurkacz",
"player2": "Tallon Griekspoor",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-06T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.9
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.76
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7073,
"prob_p2": 0.2927,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7073,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 15.65,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 15.27,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.65,
"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.27,
"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.2900000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 0.3611111111111111,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -800,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.009677419354844,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 21.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
"utr_advantage": 1.8595703751202368,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0185695809945732,
"rank_advantage": -46,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6521739130434783,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.6129032258064484,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.7762672811059907,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.167373271889389,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2166666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7362637362637363,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.806451612903226,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.1811059907833936,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.937631795733736,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.433496334201395,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.6428541628944695,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.1202764976958548,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.45161290322580644,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.400999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 209,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04600000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06212903225806454,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.0619047619047635,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}