Iga Swiatek vs Suzan Lamens
United Cup | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 05:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iga Swiatek
Iga …: 90,6% Suzan …: 9,4%
¿Por qué Iga Swiatek?
UTR 12,90 vs 11,90 (+0,97) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iga … Suzan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,02 19,00 98,0%
Gamdom 1,02 14,00 98,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,10 10,64 90,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Iga …: -4,3% Suzan …: +4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iga Swiatek
Ranking #2
UTR Rating 12,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #3
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 41/52 = 78,8%
Suzan Lamens
Ranking #97
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #130
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 20/40 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 87,0000
rank_ratio 44,5000
log_rank_ratio 3,7955
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 7570,0000
best_rank_diff 56,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 28,8462
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 26,7857
surface_matches_ratio 1,3000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 78,8462
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 76,7857
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 52,0000
p2_surface_matches 40,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5769
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,6073
first_serve_won_diff 6,6842
second_serve_won_diff 6,5377
bp_saved_diff 2,1081
bp_converted_diff 3,7081
aces_per_match_diff 1,1519
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 32,2040
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 62,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0586
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5950
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5455
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 16,3540
serve_consistency_p2 5,0536
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 109,4853
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2015
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0870
elite_surface_amplifier 86,5385
UTR
utr_diff 0,9700
utr_p1 0,5788
utr_p2 0,4647
utr_advantage 7,8006
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21693
API ID 15141987
Gamdom ID 479642
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21693,
    "api_id": 15141987,
    "gamdom_id": 479642,
    "player1": "Iga Swiatek",
    "player2": "Suzan Lamens",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-07T01:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 19.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 14.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.03,
      "p2": 13.76
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.906,
    "prob_p2": 0.094,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.906,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 2,
      "utr_singles": 12.9,
      "utr_ranking": 3,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 78.84615384615384,
      "wr_surface_wins": 41,
      "wr_surface_total": 52,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 97,
      "utr_singles": 11.9,
      "utr_ranking": 130,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.9,
      "ranking": 3,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.9,
      "ranking": 130,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5788235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.4647058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.9700000000000006,
    "rank_ratio": 44.5,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 7570,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.108076923076922,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 78.84615384615384,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.8005629272215575,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 56,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 3.7954891891721947,
    "rank_advantage": 87,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 28.84615384615384,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.7080769230769235,
    "p1_surface_matches": 52,
    "p2_surface_matches": 40,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.6072692307692265,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0585585585585586,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5950413223140496,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.151923076923077,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.684230769230766,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5769230769230769,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 16.354026975878845,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.053596114210281,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 109.48526507227483,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 76.78571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.5376923076923035,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 32.20400000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 86.53846153846152,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20146153846153847,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08699999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 26.785714285714292,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}