Iga Swiatek vs Suzan Lamens
United Cup | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 05:15
07 Ene 2026, 05:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iga Swiatek
Iga …: 90,6%
Suzan …: 9,4%
¿Por qué Iga Swiatek?
UTR 12,90 vs 11,90
(+0,97)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Iga … | Suzan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,02 | 19,00 | 98,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,02 | 14,00 | 98,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,10 | 10,64 | 90,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Iga …: -4,3%
Suzan …: +4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iga Swiatek
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
12,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
41/52 = 78,8%
Suzan Lamens
Ranking
#97
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#130
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
20/40 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 87,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 44,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,7955 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 7570,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 56,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 28,8462 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 26,7857 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 78,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 76,7857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,6073 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,6842 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,5377 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,1081 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,7081 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1519 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 32,2040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0586 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5950 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 16,3540 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,0536 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 109,4853 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2015 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0870 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 86,5385 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4647 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,8006 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21693
API ID
15141987
Gamdom ID
479642
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21693,
"api_id": 15141987,
"gamdom_id": 479642,
"player1": "Iga Swiatek",
"player2": "Suzan Lamens",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-07T01:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 19.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 14.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.03,
"p2": 13.76
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.906,
"prob_p2": 0.094,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.906,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 12.9,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 78.84615384615384,
"wr_surface_wins": 41,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 97,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 130,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.9,
"ranking": 3,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.9,
"ranking": 130,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5788235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.4647058823529411,
"utr_diff": 0.9700000000000006,
"rank_ratio": 44.5,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 7570,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.108076923076922,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 78.84615384615384,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 7.8005629272215575,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 56,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.7954891891721947,
"rank_advantage": 87,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 28.84615384615384,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.7080769230769235,
"p1_surface_matches": 52,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.6072692307692265,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0585585585585586,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5950413223140496,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.151923076923077,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.684230769230766,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5769230769230769,
"serve_consistency_p1": 16.354026975878845,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.053596114210281,
"surface_rank_synergy": 109.48526507227483,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 76.78571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.5376923076923035,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 32.20400000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 86.53846153846152,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20146153846153847,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08699999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 26.785714285714292,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}