Kamil Majchrzak vs Daniel Altmaier
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 08:40
05 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kamil Majchrzak
Kamil …: 69,9%
Daniel …: 30,1%
¿Por qué Kamil Majchrzak?
UTR 15,41 vs 15,32
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kamil … | Daniel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,43 | 3,32 | 69,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kamil …: +19,9%
Daniel …: -19,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kamil Majchrzak
Ranking
#59
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
20/30 = 66,7%
Daniel Altmaier
Ranking
#44
UTR Rating
15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#48
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/38 = 44,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7419 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2985 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -262,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,9298 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19,4678 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7895 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,7368 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,2381 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,1319 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,7058 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,7758 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,7726 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,8089 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3088 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -27,4840 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 59,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0866 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1217 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,7349 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,2281 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,5459 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1827 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0686 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8859 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,5165 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21798
API ID
15317345
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21798,
"api_id": 15317345,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Kamil Majchrzak",
"player2": "Daniel Altmaier",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T04:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.91,
"p2": 1.87
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6989,
"prob_p2": 0.3011,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6989,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 59,
"utr_singles": 15.41,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 44,
"utr_singles": 15.32,
"utr_ranking": 48,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.73684210526316,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.41,
"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.32,
"ranking": 48,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8858823529411763,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.7419354838709677,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -262,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.772631578947355,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.73684210526316,
"utr_advantage": -0.5164622336991612,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.29849298855599654,
"rank_advantage": -16,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.9298245614035,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.8089473684210517,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.1319122807017408,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0866141732283465,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1216931216931216,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3087719298245615,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.7057894736842201,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.7349412659363224,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.2281440500824194,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.545898871842026,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.23809523809524,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.7757894736842132,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7894736842105263,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -27.48400000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18266666666666653,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06863157894736843,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.467787114845933,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}