Kamil Majchrzak vs Daniel Altmaier
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kamil Majchrzak
Kamil …: 69,9% Daniel …: 30,1%
¿Por qué Kamil Majchrzak?
UTR 15,41 vs 15,32 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kamil … Daniel … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,43 3,32 69,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Kamil …: +19,9% Daniel …: -19,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kamil Majchrzak
Ranking #59
UTR Rating 15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 20/30 = 66,7%
Daniel Altmaier
Ranking #44
UTR Rating 15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #48
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/38 = 44,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -16,0000
rank_ratio 0,7419
log_rank_ratio -0,2985
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -262,0000
best_rank_diff -15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,9298
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 19,4678
surface_matches_ratio 0,7895
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 44,7368
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,7059
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,2381
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,1319
first_serve_won_diff 0,7058
second_serve_won_diff 3,7758
bp_saved_diff 6,7726
bp_converted_diff 1,8089
aces_per_match_diff -1,3088
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -27,4840
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 59,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0866
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1217
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 3,7349
serve_consistency_p2 4,2281
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,5459
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1827
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0686
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,8765
utr_p2 0,8859
utr_advantage -0,5165
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21798
API ID 15317345
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21798,
    "api_id": 15317345,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Kamil Majchrzak",
    "player2": "Daniel Altmaier",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T04:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.91,
      "p2": 1.87
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6989,
    "prob_p2": 0.3011,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6989,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 59,
      "utr_singles": 15.41,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 44,
      "utr_singles": 15.32,
      "utr_ranking": 48,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.73684210526316,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.41,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.32,
      "ranking": 48,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.876470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.8858823529411763,
    "utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7419354838709677,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -262,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.772631578947355,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.73684210526316,
    "utr_advantage": -0.5164622336991612,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.29849298855599654,
    "rank_advantage": -16,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.9298245614035,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.8089473684210517,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.1319122807017408,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0866141732283465,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1216931216931216,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3087719298245615,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.7057894736842201,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.7349412659363224,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.2281440500824194,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.545898871842026,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.23809523809524,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.7757894736842132,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7894736842105263,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -27.48400000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18266666666666653,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06863157894736843,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.467787114845933,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}