Elena Rybakina vs Shuai Zhang
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elena Rybakina
Elena …: 81,3% Shuai …: 18,7%
¿Por qué Elena Rybakina?
UTR 12,98 vs 12,09 (+0,78) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elena … Shuai … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,11 6,50 90,1%
Gamdom 1,11 7,00 90,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,23 5,36 81,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Elena …: -4,1% Shuai …: +4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elena Rybakina
Ranking #5
UTR Rating 12,98 Pro
UTR Ranking #1
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 43/55 = 78,2%
Shuai Zhang
Ranking #75
UTR Rating 12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #81
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 13/22 = 59,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 74,0000
rank_ratio 15,8000
log_rank_ratio 2,7600
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 5007,0000
best_rank_diff 19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,0909
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,1017
surface_matches_ratio 2,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 78,1818
surface_wr_p2 59,0909
surface_wr_p1_stable 76,2712
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,6923
p1_surface_matches 55,0000
p2_surface_matches 22,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5636
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7333
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 18,2924
first_serve_won_diff 12,9855
second_serve_won_diff 7,3927
bp_saved_diff 21,5364
bp_converted_diff -7,8236
aces_per_match_diff 4,7909
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 58,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8980
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8571
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6471
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 5,4271
serve_consistency_p2 6,5910
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 52,6911
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2078
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1649
elite_surface_amplifier 57,2727
UTR
utr_diff 0,7800
utr_p1 0,5753
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage 6,2400
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21799
API ID 15302209
Gamdom ID 564692
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21799,
    "api_id": 15302209,
    "gamdom_id": 564692,
    "player1": "Elena Rybakina",
    "player2": "Shuai Zhang",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.11,
      "p2": 6.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.11,
      "p2": 7.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 6.9
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8133,
    "prob_p2": 0.1867,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8133,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 5,
      "utr_singles": 12.98,
      "utr_ranking": 1,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 78.18181818181819,
      "wr_surface_wins": 43,
      "wr_surface_total": 55,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 75,
      "utr_singles": 12.09,
      "utr_ranking": 81,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.98,
      "ranking": 1,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.09,
      "ranking": 81,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5752941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_diff": 0.7800000000000011,
    "rank_ratio": 15.8,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 5007,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 21.53636363636364,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "surface_wr_p1": 78.18181818181819,
    "surface_wr_p2": 59.09090909090909,
    "utr_advantage": 6.240000000000009,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.760009940032921,
    "rank_advantage": 74,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6470588235294118,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.090909090909093,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.823636363636368,
    "p1_surface_matches": 55,
    "p2_surface_matches": 22,
    "serve_quality_diff": 18.29236363636364,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8979591836734694,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8571428571428571,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.790909090909091,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 12.985454545454552,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5636363636363636,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.427060007516319,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.590987585650694,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 52.691098855173955,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 76.27118644067797,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.692307692307686,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.392727272727278,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 57.27272727272728,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2078181818181818,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.164909090909091,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.101694915254242,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}