Elena Rybakina vs Shuai Zhang
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 14:00
06 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elena Rybakina
Elena …: 81,3%
Shuai …: 18,7%
¿Por qué Elena Rybakina?
UTR 12,98 vs 12,09
(+0,78)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elena … | Shuai … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,11 | 6,50 | 90,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,11 | 7,00 | 90,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,23 | 5,36 | 81,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Elena …: -4,1%
Shuai …: +4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elena Rybakina
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
12,98 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
43/55 = 78,2%
Shuai Zhang
Ranking
#75
UTR Rating
12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
13/22 = 59,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 74,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 15,8000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,7600 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 5007,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19,0909 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,1017 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 78,1818 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 76,2712 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,6923 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 55,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5636 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 18,2924 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 12,9855 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,3927 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 21,5364 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,8236 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,7909 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8980 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6471 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,4271 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5910 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 52,6911 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2078 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1649 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 57,2727 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,2400 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21799
API ID
15302209
Gamdom ID
564692
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21799,
"api_id": 15302209,
"gamdom_id": 564692,
"player1": "Elena Rybakina",
"player2": "Shuai Zhang",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.11,
"p2": 6.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.11,
"p2": 7.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.1,
"p2": 6.9
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8133,
"prob_p2": 0.1867,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8133,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 5,
"utr_singles": 12.98,
"utr_ranking": 1,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 78.18181818181819,
"wr_surface_wins": 43,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 75,
"utr_singles": 12.09,
"utr_ranking": 81,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.98,
"ranking": 1,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.09,
"ranking": 81,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5752941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.7800000000000011,
"rank_ratio": 15.8,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 5007,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 21.53636363636364,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"surface_wr_p1": 78.18181818181819,
"surface_wr_p2": 59.09090909090909,
"utr_advantage": 6.240000000000009,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.760009940032921,
"rank_advantage": 74,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6470588235294118,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.090909090909093,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.823636363636368,
"p1_surface_matches": 55,
"p2_surface_matches": 22,
"serve_quality_diff": 18.29236363636364,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8979591836734694,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8571428571428571,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.790909090909091,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 12.985454545454552,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5636363636363636,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.427060007516319,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.590987585650694,
"surface_rank_synergy": 52.691098855173955,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 76.27118644067797,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.692307692307686,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.392727272727278,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 57.27272727272728,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2078181818181818,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.164909090909091,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.101694915254242,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}