Kimberly Birrell vs Amanda Anisimova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2026, 12:30
07 Ene 2026, 12:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Kimberly …: 10,9%
Amanda …: 89,1%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kimberly … | Amanda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,50 | 1,20 | 22,2% |
| Gamdom | 5,20 | 1,18 | 19,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 9,22 | 1,12 | 10,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kimberly …: -10,2%
Amanda …: +10,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking
#76
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking
#4
UTR Rating
12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -103,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0283 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,5648 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -4,0000 | |
| points_diff | -5566,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -56,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15,3972 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,9750 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8919 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72,9730 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,7317 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1515 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,6208 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,8749 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,6521 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,0296 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,5076 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,4939 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,7950 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 59,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,2059 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9504 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,9914 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,5557 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 54,8884 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1788 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1267 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5718 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5718 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21800
API ID
15302183
Gamdom ID
564719
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21800,
"api_id": 15302183,
"gamdom_id": 564719,
"player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
"player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-07T08:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.5,
"p2": 1.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.2,
"p2": 1.18
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.97,
"p2": 1.17
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1085,
"prob_p2": 0.8915,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8915,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 4,
"utr_singles": 12.84,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.84,
"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5717647058823528,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.02830188679245283,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -5566,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.0296478296478355,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -56,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.5648268054439574,
"rank_advantage": -103,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -15.39721539721539,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.507616707616691,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.620810810810809,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.20588235294117646,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.4938574938574942,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -4,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.8749385749385823,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.99141714176305,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.555652879327874,
"surface_rank_synergy": 54.88840617718785,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.6520884520884422,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8918918918918919,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.795000000000016,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17875757575757578,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12672972972972973,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.974950560316415,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}