Kimberly Birrell vs Amanda Anisimova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2026, 12:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Kimberly …: 10,9% Amanda …: 89,1%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kimberly … Amanda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,50 1,20 22,2%
Gamdom 5,20 1,18 19,2%
IA Fair Odds 9,22 1,12 10,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Kimberly …: -10,2% Amanda …: +10,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking #76
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/33 = 57,6%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking #4
UTR Rating 12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -103,0000
rank_ratio 0,0283
log_rank_ratio -3,5648
rank_tier_advantage -4,0000
points_diff -5566,0000
best_rank_diff -56,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -15,3972
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,9750
surface_matches_ratio 0,8919
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,5758
surface_wr_p2 72,9730
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,7568
surface_wr_p2_stable 70,7317
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1515
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,6208
first_serve_won_diff -2,8749
second_serve_won_diff -0,6521
bp_saved_diff -5,0296
bp_converted_diff 3,5076
aces_per_match_diff -1,4939
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,7950
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 59,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,2059
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9504
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 10,9914
serve_consistency_p2 5,5557
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 54,8884
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1788
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1267
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5718
utr_p2 0,5718
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21800
API ID 15302183
Gamdom ID 564719
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21800,
    "api_id": 15302183,
    "gamdom_id": 564719,
    "player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
    "player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-07T08:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.2,
      "p2": 1.18
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.97,
      "p2": 1.17
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1085,
    "prob_p2": 0.8915,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8915,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 4,
      "utr_singles": 12.84,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.84,
      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -5566,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.0296478296478355,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
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    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
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    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
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    "match_load_diff": 1,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 3.507616707616691,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.620810810810809,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.20588235294117646,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.4938574938574942,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -4,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.8749385749385823,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.99141714176305,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.555652879327874,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 54.88840617718785,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.6520884520884422,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17875757575757578,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.974950560316415,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}