Iva Jovic vs Sara Bejlek
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 02:30
07 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 67,4%
Sara …: 32,6%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,19
(+0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Iva … | Sara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,50 | 65,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,40 | 3,00 | 71,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,48 | 3,07 | 67,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Iva …: +5,4%
Sara …: -5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
12/19 = 63,2%
Sara Bejlek
Ranking
#89
UTR Rating
12,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#57
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
7/12 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 58,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,6571 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9773 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 631,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 42,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,8246 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,5254 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,2500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,6558 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 13,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,9079 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,9350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1958 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,5069 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,7148 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0736 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1413 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4,8246 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,4706 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21801
API ID
15302254
Gamdom ID
564734
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21801,
"api_id": 15302254,
"gamdom_id": 564734,
"player1": "Iva Jovic",
"player2": "Sara Bejlek",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-06T22:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 3.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.93
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6741,
"prob_p2": 0.3259,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6741,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": 12.19,
"utr_ranking": 57,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.19,
"ranking": 57,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
"rank_ratio": 2.657142857142857,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 631,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 13.100000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": 1.4705882352941153,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 42,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9772514316638422,
"rank_advantage": 58,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.824561403508767,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.70000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.655789473684216,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2777777777777777,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.9078947368421053,
"combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.70000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.195752612764819,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.506936712368441,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.7148095387290585,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.299999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5833333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.935000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.824561403508767,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07357894736842097,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14133333333333342,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.5253623188405836,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}