Iva Jovic vs Sara Bejlek
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 67,4% Sara …: 32,6%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,19 (+0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iva … Sara … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,50 65,4%
Gamdom 1,40 3,00 71,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,48 3,07 67,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Iva …: +5,4% Sara …: -5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Sara Bejlek
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 12,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #57
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 7/12 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 58,0000
rank_ratio 2,6571
log_rank_ratio 0,9773
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 631,0000
best_rank_diff 42,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,8246
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,5254
surface_matches_ratio 1,5833
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 58,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,8696
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,2500
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,5467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,6558
first_serve_won_diff 3,7000
second_serve_won_diff 3,3000
bp_saved_diff 13,1000
bp_converted_diff -3,7000
aces_per_match_diff 1,9079
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,9350
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2778
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 7,1958
serve_consistency_p2 4,5069
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,7148
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0736
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1413
elite_surface_amplifier 4,8246
UTR
utr_diff 0,1800
utr_p1 0,5094
utr_p2 0,4882
utr_advantage 1,4706
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21801
API ID 15302254
Gamdom ID 564734
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21801,
    "api_id": 15302254,
    "gamdom_id": 564734,
    "player1": "Iva Jovic",
    "player2": "Sara Bejlek",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-06T22:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.93
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6741,
    "prob_p2": 0.3259,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6741,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 12.19,
      "utr_ranking": 57,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.19,
      "ranking": 57,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
    "rank_ratio": 2.657142857142857,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 631,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 13.100000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": 1.4705882352941153,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 42,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9772514316638422,
    "rank_advantage": 58,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.824561403508767,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.70000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.655789473684216,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2777777777777777,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.9078947368421053,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.70000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.195752612764819,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.506936712368441,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.7148095387290585,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.299999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5833333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.935000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 4.824561403508767,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07357894736842097,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14133333333333342,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.5253623188405836,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}