Mirra Andreeva vs Olivia Gadecki
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2026, 10:50
07 Ene 2026, 10:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 86,4%
Olivia …: 13,6%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 11,70
(+1,01)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mirra … | Olivia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,50 | 83,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,19 | 5,00 | 84,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,16 | 7,35 | 86,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mirra …: +7,5%
Olivia …: -7,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Olivia Gadecki
Ranking
#172
UTR Rating
11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#185
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
1/12 = 8,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 195,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 22,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,1209 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 5,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3775,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 78,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 39,0347 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 8,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 18,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,1717 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 12,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 12,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,7708 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -80,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -61,5600 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 82,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7446 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3636 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,2367 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,7749 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 208,0597 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0550 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2217 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 333,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4294 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,3093 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21803
API ID
15302198
Gamdom ID
564702
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21803,
"api_id": 15302198,
"gamdom_id": 564702,
"player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
"player2": "Olivia Gadecki",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-07T06:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 5.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 4.7
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.864,
"prob_p2": 0.136,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.864,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 12.64,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 172,
"utr_singles": 11.7,
"utr_ranking": 185,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 8.333333333333332,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.64,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.7,
"ranking": 185,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_diff": 1.0099999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 22.666666666666668,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 3775,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.299999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -79.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 8.333333333333332,
"utr_advantage": 8.309337721102425,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 78,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.120895416507997,
"rank_advantage": 195,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 66.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": 12.600000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.171666666666674,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7708333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.73,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 5,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.70000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.236686207733904,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.77487072886274,
"surface_rank_synergy": 208.05969443386647,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 18.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": 12.600000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -61.56,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 333.33333333333337,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 82,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05499999999999994,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.22166666666666662,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 39.034722222222214,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}