Mirra Andreeva vs Olivia Gadecki
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2026, 10:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 86,4% Olivia …: 13,6%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 11,70 (+1,01) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mirra … Olivia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,20 4,50 83,3%
Gamdom 1,19 5,00 84,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,16 7,35 86,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Mirra …: +7,5% Olivia …: -7,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Olivia Gadecki
Ranking #172
UTR Rating 11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #185
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 1/12 = 8,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 195,0000
rank_ratio 22,6667
log_rank_ratio 3,1209
rank_tier_advantage 5,0000
points_diff 3775,0000
best_rank_diff 78,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 66,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 39,0347
surface_matches_ratio 2,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 8,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 18,7500
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,7300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,1717
first_serve_won_diff 5,7000
second_serve_won_diff 12,6000
bp_saved_diff 8,3000
bp_converted_diff 12,6000
aces_per_match_diff 0,7708
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -1,0000
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -80,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -61,5600
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 82,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7446
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3636
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,2367
serve_consistency_p2 5,7749
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 208,0597
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0550
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2217
elite_surface_amplifier 333,3333
UTR
utr_diff 1,0100
utr_p1 0,5482
utr_p2 0,4294
utr_advantage 8,3093
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21803
API ID 15302198
Gamdom ID 564702
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21803,
    "api_id": 15302198,
    "gamdom_id": 564702,
    "player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
    "player2": "Olivia Gadecki",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-07T06:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.7
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.864,
    "prob_p2": 0.136,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.864,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 12.64,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 172,
      "utr_singles": 11.7,
      "utr_ranking": 185,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 8.333333333333332,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.64,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.7,
      "ranking": 185,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 1.0099999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 22.666666666666668,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 3775,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.299999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -79.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 8.333333333333332,
    "utr_advantage": 8.309337721102425,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 78,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 3.120895416507997,
    "rank_advantage": 195,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 66.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": 12.600000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.171666666666674,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7708333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.73,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 5,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.70000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.236686207733904,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.77487072886274,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 208.05969443386647,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 18.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 12.600000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -61.56,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 333.33333333333337,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 82,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05499999999999994,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.22166666666666662,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 39.034722222222214,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}