Jiri Lehecka vs Sebastian Korda
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jiri Lehecka
Jiri …: 66,1% Sebastian …: 33,9%
¿Por qué Jiri Lehecka?
UTR 15,60 vs 15,47 (+0,29) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jiri … Sebastian … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,71 2,14 58,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,51 2,95 66,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Jiri …: +9,2% Sebastian …: -9,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jiri Lehecka
Ranking #19
UTR Rating 15,60 Pro
UTR Ranking #18
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 23/36 = 63,9%
Sebastian Korda
Ranking #53
UTR Rating 15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 30,0000
rank_ratio 2,6667
log_rank_ratio 0,9808
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 1225,0000
best_rank_diff -1,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,2222
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,6176
surface_matches_ratio 1,2000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,8889
surface_wr_p2 56,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,8824
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2778
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,9540
first_serve_won_diff 0,9089
second_serve_won_diff -0,5467
bp_saved_diff -4,0156
bp_converted_diff 0,7022
aces_per_match_diff -2,6222
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,6800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1149
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9722
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3846
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5455
serve_consistency_p1 11,7712
serve_consistency_p2 9,1876
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 7,0838
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1089
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0967
elite_surface_amplifier 7,2222
UTR
utr_diff 0,2900
utr_p1 0,9176
utr_p2 0,8835
utr_advantage 1,8524
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21807
API ID 15298545
Gamdom ID 563245
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21807,
    "api_id": 15298545,
    "gamdom_id": 563245,
    "player1": "Jiri Lehecka",
    "player2": "Sebastian Korda",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-07T04:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.71,
      "p2": 2.14
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.22
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6609,
    "prob_p2": 0.3391,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6609,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 19,
      "utr_singles": 15.6,
      "utr_ranking": 18,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.888888888888886,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 53,
      "utr_singles": 15.47,
      "utr_ranking": 29,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.6,
      "ranking": 18,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.47,
      "ranking": 29,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9176470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.8835294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.2900000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 1225,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.015555555555565,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -27.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.888888888888886,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 1.8524433088470196,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -1,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9808292530117262,
    "rank_advantage": 30,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.222222222222221,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.7022222222222254,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.954000000000008,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.114864864864865,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9722222222222222,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.622222222222222,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.9088888888888818,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2777777777777778,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.771224193335938,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.187605978548687,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 7.083766827306911,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.546666666666674,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.680000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 7.222222222222221,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10888888888888881,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09666666666666668,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.617647058823529,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}