Jiri Lehecka vs Sebastian Korda
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 08:30
07 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jiri Lehecka
Jiri …: 66,1%
Sebastian …: 33,9%
¿Por qué Jiri Lehecka?
UTR 15,60 vs 15,47
(+0,29)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jiri … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,71 | 2,14 | 58,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,51 | 2,95 | 66,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jiri …: +9,2%
Sebastian …: -9,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jiri Lehecka
Ranking
#19
UTR Rating
15,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#18
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/36 = 63,9%
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 30,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9808 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1225,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,2222 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,6176 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,8824 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2778 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,9540 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,9089 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,5467 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,0156 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,7022 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,6222 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -25,6800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1149 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9722 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3846 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5455 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,7712 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,1876 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,0838 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1089 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0967 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 7,2222 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8835 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,8524 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21807
API ID
15298545
Gamdom ID
563245
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21807,
"api_id": 15298545,
"gamdom_id": 563245,
"player1": "Jiri Lehecka",
"player2": "Sebastian Korda",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-07T04:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.71,
"p2": 2.14
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.22
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6609,
"prob_p2": 0.3391,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6609,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 19,
"utr_singles": 15.6,
"utr_ranking": 18,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.888888888888886,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 53,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.6,
"ranking": 18,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.47,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8835294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.2900000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 1225,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.015555555555565,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -27.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 1.8524433088470196,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9808292530117262,
"rank_advantage": 30,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.222222222222221,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.7022222222222254,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.954000000000008,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.114864864864865,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9722222222222222,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.622222222222222,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.9088888888888818,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2777777777777778,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.771224193335938,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.187605978548687,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.083766827306911,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.546666666666674,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -25.680000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 7.222222222222221,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10888888888888881,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09666666666666668,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.617647058823529,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}