Clara Tauson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2026, 06:20
07 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Clara Tauson
Clara …: 74,7%
Aliaksandra …: 25,3%
¿Por qué Clara Tauson?
UTR 12,39 vs 12,29
(+0,34)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Clara … | Aliaksandra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,55 | 2,55 | 64,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,34 | 3,96 | 74,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Clara …: +9,1%
Aliaksandra …: -9,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Clara Tauson
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#34
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
24/37 = 64,9%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking
#104
UTR Rating
12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 99,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 8,0714 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,0883 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1858,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,4778 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,8432 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1935 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,8649 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,4146 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2973 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,8212 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,6955 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,0472 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,7797 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,0835 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,0296 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -62,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -42,8700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 84,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1304 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5745 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5263 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,9059 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,2710 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 34,4110 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0496 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0829 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 49,4333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,7620 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21808
API ID
15302208
Gamdom ID
564699
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21808,
"api_id": 15302208,
"gamdom_id": 564699,
"player1": "Clara Tauson",
"player2": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-07T02:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.55,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.48
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7474,
"prob_p2": 0.2526,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7474,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 14,
"utr_singles": 12.39,
"utr_ranking": 34,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.86486486486487,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 104,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
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"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 34,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.33999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 8.071428571428571,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 1858,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.779686137750652,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -61.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.86486486486487,
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"utr_advantage": 2.761982128350933,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.088330489097082,
"rank_advantage": 99,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5263157894736842,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.47776809067132,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.0835222319093347,
"p1_surface_matches": 37,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.821168265039233,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1304347826086956,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.574468085106383,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.029642545771578,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.695466434176112,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2972972972972973,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.905869138624452,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.271000040983317,
"surface_rank_synergy": 34.411025496019924,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.41463414634146,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.047166521360083,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1935483870967742,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -42.87,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 49.433304272013956,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 84,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04964864864864871,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08287096774193548,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.843205574912893,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}