Clara Tauson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Clara Tauson
Clara …: 74,7% Aliaksandra …: 25,3%
¿Por qué Clara Tauson?
UTR 12,39 vs 12,29 (+0,34) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Clara … Aliaksandra … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,55 2,55 64,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,34 3,96 74,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Clara …: +9,1% Aliaksandra …: -9,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Clara Tauson
Ranking #14
UTR Rating 12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #34
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 24/37 = 64,9%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking #104
UTR Rating 12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #42
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 99,0000
rank_ratio 8,0714
log_rank_ratio 2,0883
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1858,0000
best_rank_diff 17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,4778
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,8432
surface_matches_ratio 1,1935
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,8649
surface_wr_p2 48,3871
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,4146
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,5714
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2973
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,8212
first_serve_won_diff 7,6955
second_serve_won_diff 3,0472
bp_saved_diff 5,7797
bp_converted_diff 2,0835
aces_per_match_diff 4,0296
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -62,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -42,8700
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 84,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1304
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5745
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5263
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 9,9059
serve_consistency_p2 7,2710
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 34,4110
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0496
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0829
elite_surface_amplifier 49,4333
UTR
utr_diff 0,3400
utr_p1 0,5271
utr_p2 0,4871
utr_advantage 2,7620
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21808
API ID 15302208
Gamdom ID 564699
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21808,
    "api_id": 15302208,
    "gamdom_id": 564699,
    "player1": "Clara Tauson",
    "player2": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-07T02:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.48
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7474,
    "prob_p2": 0.2526,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7474,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 14,
      "utr_singles": 12.39,
      "utr_ranking": 34,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.86486486486487,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 104,
      "utr_singles": 12.29,
      "utr_ranking": 42,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.39,
      "ranking": 34,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.29,
      "ranking": 42,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4870588235294118,
    "utr_diff": 0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 8.071428571428571,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 1858,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.779686137750652,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -61.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.86486486486487,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
    "utr_advantage": 2.761982128350933,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.088330489097082,
    "rank_advantage": 99,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5263157894736842,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.47776809067132,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.0835222319093347,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.821168265039233,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1304347826086956,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.574468085106383,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.029642545771578,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.695466434176112,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2972972972972973,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.905869138624452,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.271000040983317,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 34.411025496019924,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.41463414634146,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.047166521360083,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1935483870967742,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -42.87,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 49.433304272013956,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 84,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04964864864864871,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08287096774193548,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.843205574912893,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}