Marta Kostyuk vs Yulia Putintseva
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marta Kostyuk
Marta …: 71,9% Yulia …: 28,2%
¿Por qué Marta Kostyuk?
UTR 12,61 vs 12,00 (+0,53) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marta … Yulia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,30 61,7%
Gamdom 1,46 2,85 68,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,39 3,55 71,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Marta …: +13,2% Yulia …: -13,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marta Kostyuk
Ranking #20
UTR Rating 12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 22/35 = 62,9%
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking #94
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/32 = 46,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 48,0000
rank_ratio 2,8462
log_rank_ratio 1,0460
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 768,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,9821
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,3162
surface_matches_ratio 1,0938
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,8571
surface_wr_p2 46,8750
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,5385
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,2222
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2571
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,4744
first_serve_won_diff 5,3263
second_serve_won_diff 5,0733
bp_saved_diff 12,4945
bp_converted_diff 0,1372
aces_per_match_diff 2,1446
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -34,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -23,5260
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 91,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7569
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5574
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3000
serve_consistency_p1 12,7316
serve_consistency_p2 8,5484
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 16,7168
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0806
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0168
elite_surface_amplifier 15,9821
UTR
utr_diff 0,5300
utr_p1 0,5329
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 4,3212
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21809
API ID 15302206
Gamdom ID 564703
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21809,
    "api_id": 15302206,
    "gamdom_id": 564703,
    "player1": "Marta Kostyuk",
    "player2": "Yulia Putintseva",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-07T07:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.46,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.8
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7185,
    "prob_p2": 0.2815,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7185,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 20,
      "utr_singles": 12.61,
      "utr_ranking": 14,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 94,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.61,
      "ranking": 14,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5329411764705881,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.5299999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 2.8461538461538463,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 768,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 12.494464285714287,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -34.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.875,
    "utr_advantage": 4.321239298817769,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0459685551826878,
    "rank_advantage": 48,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 15.982142857142854,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.1372321428571368,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.474446428571412,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7568627450980392,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5573770491803278,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.1446428571428573,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.326339285714262,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2571428571428571,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.731630830352769,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.548439929774696,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 16.716818873009025,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.53846153846154,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.073303571428568,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.09375,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -23.526000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 15.982142857142854,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 91,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08057142857142852,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.016750000000000043,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.316239316239319,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}