Marta Kostyuk vs Yulia Putintseva
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2026, 11:05
07 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marta Kostyuk
Marta …: 71,9%
Yulia …: 28,2%
¿Por qué Marta Kostyuk?
UTR 12,61 vs 12,00
(+0,53)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marta … | Yulia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,46 | 2,85 | 68,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,39 | 3,55 | 71,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Marta …: +13,2%
Yulia …: -13,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marta Kostyuk
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
22/35 = 62,9%
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking
#94
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/32 = 46,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 48,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,8462 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0460 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 768,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,9821 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,3162 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0938 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,8750 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2571 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,4744 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,3263 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,0733 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,4945 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,1372 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,1446 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -34,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,5260 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 91,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7569 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5574 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,7316 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,5484 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 16,7168 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0806 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0168 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 15,9821 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,3212 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21809
API ID
15302206
Gamdom ID
564703
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21809,
"api_id": 15302206,
"gamdom_id": 564703,
"player1": "Marta Kostyuk",
"player2": "Yulia Putintseva",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-07T07:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.46,
"p2": 2.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.8
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7185,
"prob_p2": 0.2815,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7185,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 12.61,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 94,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.61,
"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.5299999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 2.8461538461538463,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 768,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.494464285714287,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -34.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.875,
"utr_advantage": 4.321239298817769,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0459685551826878,
"rank_advantage": 48,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.982142857142854,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.1372321428571368,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.474446428571412,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7568627450980392,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5573770491803278,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.1446428571428573,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.326339285714262,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2571428571428571,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.731630830352769,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.548439929774696,
"surface_rank_synergy": 16.716818873009025,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.53846153846154,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.073303571428568,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.09375,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.526000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 15.982142857142854,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 91,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08057142857142852,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.016750000000000043,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.316239316239319,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}