Jaqueline Cristian vs Paula Badosa
Merida | Hard | Round of 16
27 Feb 2025, 06:20
27 Feb 2025, 06:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jaqueline … | Paula … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking
#35
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
19/34 = 55,9%
Paula Badosa
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
13/22 = 59,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2973 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -249,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -33,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12,4275 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -17,7938 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,4625 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,8900 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,2687 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,0625 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 63,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0794 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,0706 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,0158 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,4709 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,1087 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,6719 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,1107 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,2340 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6327 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9567 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,5758 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,5333 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,6941 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0036 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1099 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5435 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
2181
API ID
13499182
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Merida
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2181,
"api_id": 13499182,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"player2": "Paula Badosa",
"tournament": "Merida",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-27T02:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 35,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 12,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 12,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.7428571428571429,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2972515234679316,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -249,
"best_rank_diff": -33,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.427477508079619,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.793843283582092,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.05,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 49.462474645030426,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.889952153110045,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.26865671641791,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.0625,
"p1_surface_matches": 63,
"p2_surface_matches": 60,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.07936507936507936,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.07057010103167,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.015796995254142,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.470927724991995,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.108736570358204,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.6718775779574315,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.110696642953502,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"momentum_diff": 8.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.233999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6327433628318584,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9566787003610109,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.575780081928428,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.533310121735946,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.694086622140121,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0036247464503042504,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10989952153110039,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.5435294117647058,
"utr_p2": 0.5435294117647058,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}