Laslo Djere vs Marcos Giron
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 13:40
06 Ene 2026, 13:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marcos Giron
Laslo …: 40,8%
Marcos …: 59,3%
¿Por qué Marcos Giron?
UTR 15,11 vs 15,30
(-0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Laslo … | Marcos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,19 | 1,69 | 45,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,45 | 1,69 | 40,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Laslo …: -2,4%
Marcos …: +2,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Laslo Djere
Ranking
#92
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
4/12 = 33,3%
Marcos Giron
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -33,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6633 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4106 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -193,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,5238 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,3542 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6967 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,2056 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,8607 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,0405 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,6845 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,4940 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,0119 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13,6600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9215 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,7522 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9819 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,9103 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1337 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1044 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,0478 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21812
API ID
15318466
Gamdom ID
574422
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21812,
"api_id": 15318466,
"gamdom_id": 574422,
"player1": "Laslo Djere",
"player2": "Marcos Giron",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T09:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.19,
"p2": 1.69
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.14,
"p2": 1.69
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4075,
"prob_p2": 0.5925,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5925,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 92,
"utr_singles": 15.11,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 51,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 0.6632653061224489,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -193,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.684523809523817,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 22.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": -1.0478061558611667,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 10,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4105802087749349,
"rank_advantage": -33,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.523809523809526,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.4940476190476204,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.20559523809523483,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9214659685863874,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.011904761904761862,
"combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.8607142857142946,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.752205569952216,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.9818691628523135,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.910287702618428,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.0404761904762054,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.42857142857142855,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.659999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 60,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1336666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10442857142857148,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.354166666666667,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}