Laslo Djere vs Marcos Giron
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 13:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marcos Giron
Laslo …: 40,8% Marcos …: 59,3%
¿Por qué Marcos Giron?
UTR 15,11 vs 15,30 (-0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Laslo … Marcos … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,19 1,69 45,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,45 1,69 40,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Laslo …: -2,4% Marcos …: +2,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Laslo Djere
Ranking #92
UTR Rating 15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 4/12 = 33,3%
Marcos Giron
Ranking #51
UTR Rating 15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -33,0000
rank_ratio 0,6633
log_rank_ratio -0,4106
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -193,0000
best_rank_diff 10,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,5238
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,3542
surface_matches_ratio 0,4286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,6967
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,2056
first_serve_won_diff 0,8607
second_serve_won_diff -2,0405
bp_saved_diff 4,6845
bp_converted_diff 1,4940
aces_per_match_diff -0,0119
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 13,6600
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 60,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9215
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 6,7522
serve_consistency_p2 5,9819
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,9103
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1337
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1044
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1600
utr_p1 0,8459
utr_p2 0,8647
utr_advantage -1,0478
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21812
API ID 15318466
Gamdom ID 574422
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21812,
    "api_id": 15318466,
    "gamdom_id": 574422,
    "player1": "Laslo Djere",
    "player2": "Marcos Giron",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T09:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.19,
      "p2": 1.69
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.14,
      "p2": 1.69
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4075,
    "prob_p2": 0.5925,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5925,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 92,
      "utr_singles": 15.11,
      "utr_ranking": 79,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 51,
      "utr_singles": 15.3,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.11,
      "ranking": 79,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.3,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8458823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
    "utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6632653061224489,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -193,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.684523809523817,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": -1.0478061558611667,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 10,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.4105802087749349,
    "rank_advantage": -33,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.523809523809526,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.4940476190476204,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.20559523809523483,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9214659685863874,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.011904761904761862,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.8607142857142946,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.752205569952216,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.9818691628523135,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.910287702618428,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.0404761904762054,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.42857142857142855,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 13.659999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 60,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1336666666666667,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10442857142857148,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.354166666666667,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}