Alejandro Tabilo vs Michael Mmoh
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 11:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Tabilo
Alejandro …: 78,5% Michael …: 21,5%
¿Por qué Alejandro Tabilo?
UTR 15,06 vs 14,54 (+0,83) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alejandro … Michael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,30 61,7%
Gamdom 1,56 2,45 64,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,27 4,65 78,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Alejandro …: +19,8% Michael …: -19,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking #79
UTR Rating 15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/28 = 53,6%
Michael Mmoh
Ranking #228
UTR Rating 14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #190
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 13/24 = 54,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 205,0000
rank_ratio 3,5000
log_rank_ratio 1,2528
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 533,0000
best_rank_diff 62,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,5952
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,3869
surface_matches_ratio 1,1667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,5714
surface_wr_p2 54,1667
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,1250
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,5714
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 24,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0714
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,8000
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,9840
first_serve_won_diff 8,0929
second_serve_won_diff -0,8429
bp_saved_diff 11,9571
bp_converted_diff -5,1500
aces_per_match_diff 2,5952
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,2290
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7586
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 6,0436
serve_consistency_p2 8,3198
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,7457
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1693
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2467
elite_surface_amplifier -1,1905
UTR
utr_diff 0,8300
utr_p1 0,8435
utr_p2 0,7459
utr_advantage 5,6252
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21813
API ID 15318422
Gamdom ID 574423
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21813,
    "api_id": 15318422,
    "gamdom_id": 574423,
    "player1": "Alejandro Tabilo",
    "player2": "Michael Mmoh",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T07:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.45
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.59,
      "p2": 2.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.785,
    "prob_p2": 0.215,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.785,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 79,
      "utr_singles": 15.06,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 228,
      "utr_singles": 14.54,
      "utr_ranking": 190,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.06,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.54,
      "ranking": 190,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8435294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.7458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.8300000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 3.5,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 533,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 11.957142857142856,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.166666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 5.625211792612674,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 62,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.252762968495368,
    "rank_advantage": 205,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.5952380952380949,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.150000000000013,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 24,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.984047619047615,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7586206896551724,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.595238095238096,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 8.092857142857127,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07142857142857142,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.04361828737237,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.31983333991808,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.7456922431520043,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.125,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.8428571428571487,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.2289999999999992,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -1.1904761904761898,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16928571428571437,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2466666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.38690476190476014,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}