Alejandro Tabilo vs Michael Mmoh
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 11:35
06 Ene 2026, 11:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Tabilo
Alejandro …: 78,5%
Michael …: 21,5%
¿Por qué Alejandro Tabilo?
UTR 15,06 vs 14,54
(+0,83)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alejandro … | Michael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,56 | 2,45 | 64,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,27 | 4,65 | 78,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alejandro …: +19,8%
Michael …: -19,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking
#79
UTR Rating
15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/28 = 53,6%
Michael Mmoh
Ranking
#228
UTR Rating
14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#190
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/24 = 54,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 205,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2528 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 533,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 62,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,5952 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,3869 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,1250 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0714 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,9840 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,0929 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,8429 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 11,9571 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,1500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5952 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,2290 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7586 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0436 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,3198 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7457 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1693 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2467 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -1,1905 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7459 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,6252 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21813
API ID
15318422
Gamdom ID
574423
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21813,
"api_id": 15318422,
"gamdom_id": 574423,
"player1": "Alejandro Tabilo",
"player2": "Michael Mmoh",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T07:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.56,
"p2": 2.45
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.59,
"p2": 2.33
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.785,
"prob_p2": 0.215,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.785,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 79,
"utr_singles": 15.06,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 228,
"utr_singles": 14.54,
"utr_ranking": 190,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 85,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 190,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7458823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.8300000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 3.5,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 533,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 11.957142857142856,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.166666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 5.625211792612674,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 62,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.252762968495368,
"rank_advantage": 205,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.5952380952380949,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.150000000000013,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.984047619047615,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7586206896551724,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.595238095238096,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.092857142857127,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07142857142857142,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.04361828737237,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.31983333991808,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7456922431520043,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.125,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.8428571428571487,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.2289999999999992,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -1.1904761904761898,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16928571428571437,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2466666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.38690476190476014,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}