Jan-Lennard Struff vs Botic Van de Zandschulp
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 13:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jan-Lennard Struff
Jan-Lennard …: 58,7% Botic …: 41,3%
¿Por qué Jan-Lennard Struff?
UTR 15,12 vs 15,09 (+0,04) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jan-Lennard … Botic … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,68 2,21 59,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,70 2,42 58,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Jan-Lennard …: +6,1% Botic …: -6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking #86
UTR Rating 15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Botic Van de Zandschulp
Ranking #75
UTR Rating 15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #81
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -6,0000
rank_ratio 0,9277
log_rank_ratio -0,0750
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -35,0000
best_rank_diff 1,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,1772
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,9610
surface_matches_ratio 0,7879
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,3077
surface_wr_p2 48,4848
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,6486
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1538
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,2540
first_serve_won_diff 2,0374
second_serve_won_diff -3,6913
bp_saved_diff -9,0955
bp_converted_diff -9,7878
aces_per_match_diff 3,1713
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 58,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 40,6190
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 63,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0606
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5904
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3077
serve_consistency_p1 6,1033
serve_consistency_p2 5,2511
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,4635
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0709
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0212
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0400
utr_p1 0,8400
utr_p2 0,8353
utr_advantage 0,2646
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21814
API ID 15318421
Gamdom ID 574424
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21814,
    "api_id": 15318421,
    "gamdom_id": 574424,
    "player1": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
    "player2": "Botic Van de Zandschulp",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T09:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.68,
      "p2": 2.21
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.18
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5874,
    "prob_p2": 0.4126,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5874,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 86,
      "utr_singles": 15.12,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.09,
      "utr_ranking": 81,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 81,
      "division": "Pro",
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  },
  "features": {
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    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
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    "points_diff": -35,
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    "bp_saved_diff": -9.095454545454558,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
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    "momentum_diff": 58.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
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    "bp_converted_diff": -9.787762237762237,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 6.253986013986022,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0606060606060606,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5903614457831325,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.1713286713286717,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.0374125874126037,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.103288041524605,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.25108806884045,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.4635040623513341,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.64864864864865,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.960960960960962,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}