En-Shuo Liang vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucrezia Stefanini
En-Shuo …: 35,2%
Lucrezia …: 64,8%
¿Por qué Lucrezia Stefanini?
UTR 11,53 vs 11,61
(-0,35)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | En-Shuo … | Lucrezia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,10 | 1,77 | 47,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,84 | 1,54 | 35,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
En-Shuo …: -7,9%
Lucrezia …: +7,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
En-Shuo Liang
Ranking
#359
UTR Rating
11,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#242
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking
#139
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#209
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/23 = 47,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -258,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3452 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0637 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -365,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -51,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,1739 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,0123 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0870 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47,8261 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,1481 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,9952 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,2783 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,2043 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,3783 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,6696 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6087 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 34,5350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 26,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,1553 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,0065 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,3124 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2580 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2797 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4271 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,0554 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21815
API ID
15318102
Gamdom ID
573826
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21815,
"api_id": 15318102,
"gamdom_id": 573826,
"player1": "En-Shuo Liang",
"player2": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.77
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.08,
"p2": 1.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3522,
"prob_p2": 0.6478,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6478,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 359,
"utr_singles": 11.53,
"utr_ranking": 242,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 139,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 209,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.82608695652174,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 242,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.61,
"ranking": 209,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
"utr_diff": -0.3500000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 0.34517766497461927,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -365,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.378260869565217,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.82608695652174,
"utr_advantage": -3.0554343081623867,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -51,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.063696023561882,
"rank_advantage": -258,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.173913043478258,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.669565217391302,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.9952173913043438,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6086956521739131,
"combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.2782608695652158,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.155327650063153,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.006502504134044,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.312382659917132,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.148148148148145,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.2043478260869662,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.08695652173913043,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 34.535000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 26,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.258,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2797391304347826,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.0123456790123473,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}