En-Shuo Liang vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucrezia Stefanini
En-Shuo …: 35,2% Lucrezia …: 64,8%
¿Por qué Lucrezia Stefanini?
UTR 11,53 vs 11,61 (-0,35) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente En-Shuo … Lucrezia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,10 1,77 47,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,84 1,54 35,2%
Edge vs Mercado: En-Shuo …: -7,9% Lucrezia …: +7,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
En-Shuo Liang
Ranking #359
UTR Rating 11,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #242
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking #139
UTR Rating 11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #209
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/23 = 47,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -258,0000
rank_ratio 0,3452
log_rank_ratio -1,0637
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -365,0000
best_rank_diff -51,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,1739
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,0123
surface_matches_ratio 0,0870
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 47,8261
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,1481
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,5467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,9952
first_serve_won_diff 0,2783
second_serve_won_diff -1,2043
bp_saved_diff 8,3783
bp_converted_diff 10,6696
aces_per_match_diff 0,6087
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 34,5350
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 26,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 11,1553
serve_consistency_p2 11,0065
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,3124
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2580
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2797
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3500
utr_p1 0,3859
utr_p2 0,4271
utr_advantage -3,0554
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21815
API ID 15318102
Gamdom ID 573826
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21815,
    "api_id": 15318102,
    "gamdom_id": 573826,
    "player1": "En-Shuo Liang",
    "player2": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.77
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.08,
      "p2": 1.73
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3522,
    "prob_p2": 0.6478,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6478,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 359,
      "utr_singles": 11.53,
      "utr_ranking": 242,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 139,
      "utr_singles": 11.61,
      "utr_ranking": 209,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.82608695652174,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.53,
      "ranking": 242,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.61,
      "ranking": 209,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3858823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
    "utr_diff": -0.3500000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.34517766497461927,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -365,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.378260869565217,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 47.82608695652174,
    "utr_advantage": -3.0554343081623867,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -51,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.063696023561882,
    "rank_advantage": -258,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.173913043478258,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.669565217391302,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.9952173913043438,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6086956521739131,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.2782608695652158,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.155327650063153,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.006502504134044,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.312382659917132,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.148148148148145,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.2043478260869662,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.08695652173913043,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 34.535000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 26,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.258,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2797391304347826,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.0123456790123473,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}