Lola Radivojevic vs Teodora Kostovic
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Teodora Kostovic
Lola …: 34,8% Teodora …: 65,2%
¿Por qué Teodora Kostovic?
UTR 11,99 vs 11,74 (+0,25) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lola … Teodora … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,81 2,05 55,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,87 1,53 34,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Lola …: -17,8% Teodora …: +17,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lola Radivojevic
Ranking #137
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #108
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 0/5 = 0,0%
Teodora Kostovic
Ranking #177
UTR Rating 11,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #172
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 2/6 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 38,0000
rank_ratio 1,2774
log_rank_ratio 0,2448
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 125,0000
best_rank_diff 36,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -33,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,3763
surface_matches_ratio 0,8333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,6111
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,3333
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,3733
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,7660
first_serve_won_diff -0,9867
second_serve_won_diff -8,9133
bp_saved_diff 16,6000
bp_converted_diff -21,4333
aces_per_match_diff 3,4667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,7510
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 85,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 14,9320
serve_consistency_p2 6,5140
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -8,1602
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5380
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1287
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2500
utr_p1 0,4682
utr_p2 0,4388
utr_advantage 2,1088
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21817
API ID 15318099
Gamdom ID 573820
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21817,
    "api_id": 15318099,
    "gamdom_id": 573820,
    "player1": "Lola Radivojevic",
    "player2": "Teodora Kostovic",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T02:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.81,
      "p2": 2.05
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.78,
      "p2": 1.99
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3483,
    "prob_p2": 0.6517,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6517,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 137,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 108,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 177,
      "utr_singles": 11.74,
      "utr_ranking": 172,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.99,
      "ranking": 108,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.74,
      "ranking": 172,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.4388235294117648,
    "utr_diff": 0.25,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2773722627737227,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 125,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 16.6,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -12.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 2.108814846056516,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 36,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.24480504809538922,
    "rank_advantage": 38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": -21.43333333333333,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.7659999999999982,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.466666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3733333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.9866666666666717,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.932044731143538,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.513954597183103,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -8.160168269846306,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.611111111111114,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.913333333333334,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8333333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.751000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 85,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.538,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1286666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.376296296296296,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}