Lola Radivojevic vs Teodora Kostovic
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 06:20
06 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Teodora Kostovic
Lola …: 34,8%
Teodora …: 65,2%
¿Por qué Teodora Kostovic?
UTR 11,99 vs 11,74
(+0,25)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lola … | Teodora … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,81 | 2,05 | 55,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,87 | 1,53 | 34,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lola …: -17,8%
Teodora …: +17,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lola Radivojevic
Ranking
#137
UTR Rating
11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#108
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
0/5 = 0,0%
Teodora Kostovic
Ranking
#177
UTR Rating
11,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#172
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
2/6 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2774 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2448 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 125,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 36,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,3763 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,6111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3733 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,7660 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,9867 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,9133 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 16,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -21,4333 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,4667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,7510 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 85,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,9320 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5140 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8,1602 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5380 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1287 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4388 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,1088 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21817
API ID
15318099
Gamdom ID
573820
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21817,
"api_id": 15318099,
"gamdom_id": 573820,
"player1": "Lola Radivojevic",
"player2": "Teodora Kostovic",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T02:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.81,
"p2": 2.05
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.78,
"p2": 1.99
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3483,
"prob_p2": 0.6517,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6517,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 137,
"utr_singles": 11.99,
"utr_ranking": 108,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 177,
"utr_singles": 11.74,
"utr_ranking": 172,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.99,
"ranking": 108,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.74,
"ranking": 172,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.4388235294117648,
"utr_diff": 0.25,
"rank_ratio": 1.2773722627737227,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 125,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 16.6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -12.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 2.108814846056516,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 36,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.24480504809538922,
"rank_advantage": 38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": -21.43333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.7659999999999982,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.466666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.3733333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.9866666666666717,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.932044731143538,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.513954597183103,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.160168269846306,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.611111111111114,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.913333333333334,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8333333333333334,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.751000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 85,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.538,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1286666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.376296296296296,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}