Lucia Bronzetti vs Tamara Zidansek
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 05:05
06 Ene 2026, 05:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Zidansek
Lucia …: 44,7%
Tamara …: 55,3%
¿Por qué Tamara Zidansek?
UTR 11,56 vs 11,85
(-0,41)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lucia … | Tamara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,80 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,13 | 1,76 | 46,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,24 | 1,81 | 44,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lucia …: -2,7%
Tamara …: +2,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lucia Bronzetti
Ranking
#107
UTR Rating
11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#227
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
13/30 = 43,3%
Tamara Zidansek
Ranking
#151
UTR Rating
11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#140
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
5/8 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 51,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3959 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 294,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,1667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,3573 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,1176 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7033 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,1372 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,5367 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,6483 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,7150 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,9300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -72,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -54,8300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 34,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5972 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6071 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,8938 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,9105 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -7,5880 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1177 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1760 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4082 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4565 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,5118 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21818
API ID
15318101
Gamdom ID
573822
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21818,
"api_id": 15318101,
"gamdom_id": 573822,
"player1": "Lucia Bronzetti",
"player2": "Tamara Zidansek",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T01:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.13,
"p2": 1.76
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.12,
"p2": 1.69
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4469,
"prob_p2": 0.5531,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5531,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 107,
"utr_singles": 11.56,
"utr_ranking": 227,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 151,
"utr_singles": 11.85,
"utr_ranking": 140,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.56,
"ranking": 227,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.85,
"ranking": 140,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.40823529411764714,
"utr_p2": 0.4564705882352942,
"utr_diff": -0.41000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 1.4857142857142858,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 294,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.714999999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -72.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 43.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": -3.5117773019271956,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -24,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3958956570920137,
"rank_advantage": 51,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.166666666666664,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.93,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 8,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.1371666666666584,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5972222222222222,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6071428571428571,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.7999999999999998,
"combined_confidence": 0.7033333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -7,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.5366666666666831,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.13333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.893783665865042,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.910521044558728,
"surface_rank_synergy": -7.588000094263594,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.11764705882353,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.6483333333333263,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.75,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -54.83000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 34,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11766666666666659,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17599999999999993,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.357254901960784,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}