Lucia Bronzetti vs Tamara Zidansek
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 05:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Zidansek
Lucia …: 44,7% Tamara …: 55,3%
¿Por qué Tamara Zidansek?
UTR 11,56 vs 11,85 (-0,41) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lucia … Tamara … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,80 50,0%
Gamdom 2,13 1,76 46,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,24 1,81 44,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Lucia …: -2,7% Tamara …: +2,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lucia Bronzetti
Ranking #107
UTR Rating 11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #227
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 13/30 = 43,3%
Tamara Zidansek
Ranking #151
UTR Rating 11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #140
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 5/8 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 51,0000
rank_ratio 1,4857
log_rank_ratio 0,3959
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 294,0000
best_rank_diff -24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -19,1667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,3573
surface_matches_ratio 3,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 43,3333
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,1176
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,0000
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 8,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4067
combined_confidence 0,7033
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,1372
first_serve_won_diff -0,5367
second_serve_won_diff -0,6483
bp_saved_diff -8,7150
bp_converted_diff -10,9300
aces_per_match_diff 1,8000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff -72,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -54,8300
current_streak_diff -7,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 34,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5972
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6071
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 10,8938
serve_consistency_p2 12,9105
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,5880
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1177
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1760
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4100
utr_p1 0,4082
utr_p2 0,4565
utr_advantage -3,5118
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21818
API ID 15318101
Gamdom ID 573822
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21818,
    "api_id": 15318101,
    "gamdom_id": 573822,
    "player1": "Lucia Bronzetti",
    "player2": "Tamara Zidansek",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T01:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.13,
      "p2": 1.76
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.12,
      "p2": 1.69
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4469,
    "prob_p2": 0.5531,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5531,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 107,
      "utr_singles": 11.56,
      "utr_ranking": 227,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 151,
      "utr_singles": 11.85,
      "utr_ranking": 140,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.56,
      "ranking": 227,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.85,
      "ranking": 140,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.40823529411764714,
    "utr_p2": 0.4564705882352942,
    "utr_diff": -0.41000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4857142857142858,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 294,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.714999999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -72.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 43.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": -3.5117773019271956,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -24,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3958956570920137,
    "rank_advantage": 51,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -19.166666666666664,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.93,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 8,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.1371666666666584,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5972222222222222,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6071428571428571,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.7999999999999998,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7033333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -7,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.5366666666666831,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.13333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.893783665865042,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.910521044558728,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.588000094263594,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.11764705882353,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.6483333333333263,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -54.83000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 34,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11766666666666659,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17599999999999993,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.357254901960784,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}