Elvina Kalieva vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 08:45
06 Ene 2026, 08:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Elvina …: 49,4%
Ekaterine …: 50,6%
¿Por qué Ekaterine Gorgodze?
UTR 11,52 vs 11,63
(-0,11)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elvina … | Ekaterine … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,82 | 2,04 | 54,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,02 | 1,98 | 49,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Elvina …: -3,2%
Ekaterine …: +3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elvina Kalieva
Ranking
#207
UTR Rating
11,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#259
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
3/5 = 60,0%
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ranking
#169
UTR Rating
11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#202
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8670 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1427 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -38,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -60,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,8233 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,3492 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 36,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,8800 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 11,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 15,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,4000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,4990 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 15,5823 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,6375 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,4272 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1270 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0270 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4200 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9553 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21819
API ID
15318097
Gamdom ID
573823
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21819,
"api_id": 15318097,
"gamdom_id": 573823,
"player1": "Elvina Kalieva",
"player2": "Ekaterine Gorgodze",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T04:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.82,
"p2": 2.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.78,
"p2": 1.99
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4939,
"prob_p2": 0.5061,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5061,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 207,
"utr_singles": 11.52,
"utr_ranking": 259,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 169,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 202,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.52,
"ranking": 259,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.63,
"ranking": 202,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.42000000000000004,
"utr_diff": -0.10999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 0.8669950738916257,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -38,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 15.599999999999994,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": -0.9552757273121965,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -60,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1427219840036355,
"rank_advantage": -27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.879999999999995,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.3999999999999999,
"combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 11.899999999999991,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 15.582339797104988,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.63746125586529,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.4272198400363552,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.34920634920635,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.1000000000000085,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.4989999999999952,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.127,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.027000000000000024,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.823280423280424,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}