Tahlia Kokkinis vs Himeno Sakatsume
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 10:10
06 Ene 2026, 10:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Tahlia …: 15,4%
Himeno …: 84,7%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 10,96 vs 12,04
(-0,68)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tahlia … | Himeno … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,00 | 1,25 | 25,0% |
| Gamdom | 5,80 | 1,15 | 17,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,51 | 1,18 | 15,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tahlia …: -8,5%
Himeno …: +8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tahlia Kokkinis
Ranking
#496
UTR Rating
10,96 Junior
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#94
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -338,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3088 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,1751 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -354,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -331,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18,1347 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,3247 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -15,0114 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -12,3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -14,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -32,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -14,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,2857 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -78,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -58,6500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 375,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1463 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 67,1476 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1620 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2666 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3600 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,9649 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21820
API ID
15318098
Gamdom ID
573825
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21820,
"api_id": 15318098,
"gamdom_id": 573825,
"player1": "Tahlia Kokkinis",
"player2": "Himeno Sakatsume",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T06:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.8,
"p2": 1.15
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 5.57,
"p2": 1.14
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1535,
"prob_p2": 0.8465,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8465,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 496,
"utr_singles": 10.96,
"utr_ranking": 28,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 94,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.96,
"ranking": 28,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 94,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.36000000000000004,
"utr_p2": 0.44,
"utr_diff": -0.6799999999999997,
"rank_ratio": 0.30879345603271985,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -354,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -32.900000000000006,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -77.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": -5.964912280701752,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -331,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.1750826526599476,
"rank_advantage": -338,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -57.14285714285714,
"bp_converted_diff": -14.100000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -15.011428571428567,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.2857142857142856,
"combined_confidence": 0.3533333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -12.299999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.146303485953698,
"surface_rank_synergy": 67.147580151997,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"second_serve_won_diff": -14.299999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.14285714285714285,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -58.650000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 375,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16200000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.26657142857142857,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.13471861471861,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}