Tahlia Kokkinis vs Himeno Sakatsume
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 10:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Tahlia …: 15,4% Himeno …: 84,7%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 10,96 vs 12,04 (-0,68) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tahlia … Himeno … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,00 1,25 25,0%
Gamdom 5,80 1,15 17,2%
IA Fair Odds 6,51 1,18 15,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Tahlia …: -8,5% Himeno …: +8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tahlia Kokkinis
Ranking #496
UTR Rating 10,96 Junior
UTR Ranking #28
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking #140
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #94
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -338,0000
rank_ratio 0,3088
log_rank_ratio -1,1751
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -354,0000
best_rank_diff -331,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -57,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -18,1347
surface_matches_ratio 0,1429
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,3247
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,3533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -15,0114
first_serve_won_diff -12,3000
second_serve_won_diff -14,3000
bp_saved_diff -32,9000
bp_converted_diff -14,1000
aces_per_match_diff -2,2857
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -78,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -58,6500
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 375,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 6,1463
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 67,1476
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1620
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2666
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6800
utr_p1 0,3600
utr_p2 0,4400
utr_advantage -5,9649
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21820
API ID 15318098
Gamdom ID 573825
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21820,
    "api_id": 15318098,
    "gamdom_id": 573825,
    "player1": "Tahlia Kokkinis",
    "player2": "Himeno Sakatsume",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T06:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.8,
      "p2": 1.15
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.57,
      "p2": 1.14
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1535,
    "prob_p2": 0.8465,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8465,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 496,
      "utr_singles": 10.96,
      "utr_ranking": 28,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 140,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 94,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.96,
      "ranking": 28,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 94,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.36000000000000004,
    "utr_p2": 0.44,
    "utr_diff": -0.6799999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 0.30879345603271985,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -354,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -32.900000000000006,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -77.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": -5.964912280701752,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -331,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.1750826526599476,
    "rank_advantage": -338,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -57.14285714285714,
    "bp_converted_diff": -14.100000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": -15.011428571428567,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.2857142857142856,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3533333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -12.299999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.146303485953698,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 67.147580151997,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -14.299999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.14285714285714285,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -58.650000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 375,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16200000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.26657142857142857,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.13471861471861,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}