Tatiana Prozorova vs Nikola Bartunkova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 11:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikola Bartunkova
Tatiana …: 45,9% Nikola …: 54,1%
¿Por qué Nikola Bartunkova?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tatiana … Nikola … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 1,83 2,02 54,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,18 1,85 45,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Tatiana …: -4,1% Nikola …: +4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking #174
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 6/11 = 54,5%
Nikola Bartunkova
Ranking #126
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #102
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 5/9 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -57,0000
rank_ratio 0,6885
log_rank_ratio -0,3732
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -199,0000
best_rank_diff -11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,0101
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,2963
surface_matches_ratio 1,2222
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,5455
surface_wr_p2 55,5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,0171
p1_surface_matches 11,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4467
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,4333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,2701
first_serve_won_diff -1,0111
second_serve_won_diff -15,4778
bp_saved_diff -2,8444
bp_converted_diff 16,5222
aces_per_match_diff -2,0606
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 62,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 45,0400
current_streak_diff 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 68,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 8,5295
serve_consistency_p2 6,3308
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,3770
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1025
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0014
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4694
utr_p2 0,4694
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21821
API ID 15318100
Gamdom ID 573824
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21821,
    "api_id": 15318100,
    "gamdom_id": 573824,
    "player1": "Tatiana Prozorova",
    "player2": "Nikola Bartunkova",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T07:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.83,
      "p2": 2.02
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.74,
      "p2": 2.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4587,
    "prob_p2": 0.5413,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5413,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 126,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 102,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.99,
      "ranking": 102,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.46941176470588236,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6885245901639344,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": -199,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.8444444444444485,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 62.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.37320424588994294,
    "rank_advantage": -57,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.0101010101010175,
    "bp_converted_diff": 16.522222222222226,
    "p1_surface_matches": 11,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.270101010101016,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.0606060606060606,
    "combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.01111111111112,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.529480821627102,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.3307987032262005,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.37697398574741986,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.01709401709402,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -15.477777777777796,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2222222222222223,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 45.03999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10245454545454546,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0014444444444444704,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.2962962962962953,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}