Tatiana Prozorova vs Nikola Bartunkova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 11:40
06 Ene 2026, 11:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikola Bartunkova
Tatiana …: 45,9%
Nikola …: 54,1%
¿Por qué Nikola Bartunkova?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tatiana … | Nikola … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,83 | 2,02 | 54,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,18 | 1,85 | 45,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tatiana …: -4,1%
Nikola …: +4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking
#174
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Nikola Bartunkova
Ranking
#126
UTR Rating
11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#102
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
5/9 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -57,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6885 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3732 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -199,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,0101 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,2963 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2222 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,0171 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,2701 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,0111 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -15,4778 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,8444 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 16,5222 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0606 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 62,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 45,0400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,5295 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3308 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,3770 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1025 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0014 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4694 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21821
API ID
15318100
Gamdom ID
573824
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21821,
"api_id": 15318100,
"gamdom_id": 573824,
"player1": "Tatiana Prozorova",
"player2": "Nikola Bartunkova",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T07:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.83,
"p2": 2.02
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.74,
"p2": 2.24
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4587,
"prob_p2": 0.5413,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5413,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 174,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 126,
"utr_singles": 11.99,
"utr_ranking": 102,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.99,
"ranking": 102,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.46941176470588236,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.6885245901639344,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -199,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.8444444444444485,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 62.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.37320424588994294,
"rank_advantage": -57,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.0101010101010175,
"bp_converted_diff": 16.522222222222226,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.270101010101016,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.0606060606060606,
"combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.01111111111112,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.529480821627102,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.3307987032262005,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.37697398574741986,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.01709401709402,
"second_serve_won_diff": -15.477777777777796,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2222222222222223,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 45.03999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10245454545454546,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0014444444444444704,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.2962962962962953,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}