Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wu
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 15:20
07 Ene 2026, 15:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrey Rublev
Andrey …: 65,0%
Yibing …: 35,0%
¿Por qué Andrey Rublev?
UTR 15,53 vs 15,13
(+0,87)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Andrey … | Yibing … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,86 | 1,95 | 53,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,86 | 65,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Andrey …: -0,6%
Yibing …: +0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrey Rublev
Ranking
#15
UTR Rating
15,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
22/39 = 56,4%
Yibing Wu
Ranking
#168
UTR Rating
15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#74
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/31 = 74,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 165,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 11,3125 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,4259 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2188,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 49,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -17,7833 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,6146 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2581 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,4103 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 74,1935 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,8140 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 71,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1282 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,6125 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,4538 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,9026 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,0410 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,0282 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,5782 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,3450 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1879 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3912 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,6002 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -43,1406 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1009 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,4069 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -53,3499 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7918 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,7369 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21824
API ID
15298427
Gamdom ID
576387
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21824,
"api_id": 15298427,
"gamdom_id": 576387,
"player1": "Andrey Rublev",
"player2": "Yibing Wu",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-07T11:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.86,
"p2": 1.95
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.65,
"prob_p2": 0.35,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.65,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 15,
"utr_singles": 15.53,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.41025641025641,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 168,
"utr_singles": 15.13,
"utr_ranking": 74,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 27,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 74,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.791764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.8699999999999992,
"rank_ratio": 11.3125,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 2188,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.0410256410256409,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.41025641025641,
"surface_wr_p2": 74.19354838709677,
"utr_advantage": 5.7368941641938624,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 49,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.4259083090260445,
"rank_advantage": 165,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -17.78329197684036,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.02820512820513,
"p1_surface_matches": 39,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.612481389578164,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1879194630872483,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.578163771712159,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.453846153846143,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1282051282051282,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.391196045745891,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.600218958254462,
"surface_rank_synergy": -43.14063576845322,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.81395348837209,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.42857142857143,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.9025641025640994,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2580645161290323,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.344999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -53.34987593052108,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 68,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10089743589743594,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.4069354838709677,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.614617940199338,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}