Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wu
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 15:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrey Rublev
Andrey …: 65,0% Yibing …: 35,0%
¿Por qué Andrey Rublev?
UTR 15,53 vs 15,13 (+0,87) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Andrey … Yibing … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,86 1,95 53,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,86 65,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Andrey …: -0,6% Yibing …: +0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrey Rublev
Ranking #15
UTR Rating 15,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #27
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 22/39 = 56,4%
Yibing Wu
Ranking #168
UTR Rating 15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #74
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 23/31 = 74,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 165,0000
rank_ratio 11,3125
log_rank_ratio 2,4259
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 2188,0000
best_rank_diff 49,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -17,7833
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,6146
surface_matches_ratio 1,2581
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,4103
surface_wr_p2 74,1935
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,8140
surface_wr_p2_stable 71,4286
p1_surface_matches 39,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1282
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,6125
first_serve_won_diff 7,4538
second_serve_won_diff -0,9026
bp_saved_diff 1,0410
bp_converted_diff -2,0282
aces_per_match_diff 4,5782
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,3450
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 68,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1879
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4706
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 8,3912
serve_consistency_p2 12,6002
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -43,1406
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1009
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,4069
elite_surface_amplifier -53,3499
UTR
utr_diff 0,8700
utr_p1 0,8941
utr_p2 0,7918
utr_advantage 5,7369
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21824
API ID 15298427
Gamdom ID 576387
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21824,
    "api_id": 15298427,
    "gamdom_id": 576387,
    "player1": "Andrey Rublev",
    "player2": "Yibing Wu",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-07T11:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.86,
      "p2": 1.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.65,
    "prob_p2": 0.35,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.65,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 15,
      "utr_singles": 15.53,
      "utr_ranking": 27,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.41025641025641,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 168,
      "utr_singles": 15.13,
      "utr_ranking": 74,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.53,
      "ranking": 27,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.13,
      "ranking": 74,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8941176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.791764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.8699999999999992,
    "rank_ratio": 11.3125,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 2188,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.0410256410256409,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.41025641025641,
    "surface_wr_p2": 74.19354838709677,
    "utr_advantage": 5.7368941641938624,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 49,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.4259083090260445,
    "rank_advantage": 165,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -17.78329197684036,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.02820512820513,
    "p1_surface_matches": 39,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.612481389578164,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1879194630872483,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.578163771712159,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.453846153846143,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1282051282051282,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.391196045745891,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.600218958254462,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -43.14063576845322,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.81395348837209,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.42857142857143,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.9025641025640994,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2580645161290323,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.344999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -53.34987593052108,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 68,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10089743589743594,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.4069354838709677,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.614617940199338,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}