Sinja Kraus vs Francesca Jones
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francesca Jones
Sinja …: 26,7% Francesca …: 73,3%
¿Por qué Francesca Jones?
UTR 11,81 vs 12,16 (-0,34) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sinja … Francesca … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,57 42,0%
Gamdom 2,95 1,41 33,9%
IA Fair Odds 3,75 1,36 26,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Sinja …: -13,1% Francesca …: +13,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sinja Kraus
Ranking #106
UTR Rating 11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #154
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 4/8 = 50,0%
Francesca Jones
Ranking #71
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #61
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -36,0000
rank_ratio 0,6667
log_rank_ratio -0,4055
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -203,0000
best_rank_diff -34,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,7059
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,1448
surface_matches_ratio 0,4706
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 64,7059
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,9048
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,4867
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0699
first_serve_won_diff -3,4132
second_serve_won_diff -5,4507
bp_saved_diff -7,6838
bp_converted_diff -6,5221
aces_per_match_diff 1,7059
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 58,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 32,4740
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3913
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 6,7190
serve_consistency_p2 6,2704
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,9627
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0360
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1111
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3400
utr_p1 0,4506
utr_p2 0,4906
utr_advantage -2,8333
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21829
API ID 15302248
Gamdom ID 564738
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21829,
    "api_id": 15302248,
    "gamdom_id": 564738,
    "player1": "Sinja Kraus",
    "player2": "Francesca Jones",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-07T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.95,
      "p2": 1.41
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.03,
      "p2": 1.38
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2666,
    "prob_p2": 0.7334,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7334,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 106,
      "utr_singles": 11.81,
      "utr_ranking": 154,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 71,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 61,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.81,
      "ranking": 154,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 61,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4505882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.49058823529411766,
    "utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -203,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.683823529411768,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 57.99999999999998,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
    "utr_advantage": -2.833333333333332,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -34,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.40546510810816444,
    "rank_advantage": -36,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -14.705882352941174,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.522058823529413,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.06992647058823565,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.391304347826087,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.7058823529411766,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.413235294117655,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.718982765489751,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.270378785275791,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.962722178061241,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.450735294117642,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.47058823529411764,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 32.47399999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03600000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11105882352941165,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.144761904761907,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}