Sinja Kraus vs Francesca Jones
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 04:30
07 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francesca Jones
Sinja …: 26,7%
Francesca …: 73,3%
¿Por qué Francesca Jones?
UTR 11,81 vs 12,16
(-0,34)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sinja … | Francesca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,57 | 42,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,95 | 1,41 | 33,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,75 | 1,36 | 26,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sinja …: -13,1%
Francesca …: +13,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sinja Kraus
Ranking
#106
UTR Rating
11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#154
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
4/8 = 50,0%
Francesca Jones
Ranking
#71
UTR Rating
12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#61
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -36,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4055 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -203,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -34,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,7059 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,1448 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4706 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,9048 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0699 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,4132 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,4507 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,6838 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,5221 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,7059 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 58,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 32,4740 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3913 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,7190 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2704 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,9627 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0360 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1111 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4506 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4906 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,8333 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21829
API ID
15302248
Gamdom ID
564738
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21829,
"api_id": 15302248,
"gamdom_id": 564738,
"player1": "Sinja Kraus",
"player2": "Francesca Jones",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-07T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.5699999999999998
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.95,
"p2": 1.41
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.03,
"p2": 1.38
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2666,
"prob_p2": 0.7334,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7334,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 106,
"utr_singles": 11.81,
"utr_ranking": 154,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 71,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 61,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.81,
"ranking": 154,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.16,
"ranking": 61,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4505882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.49058823529411766,
"utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -203,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.683823529411768,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 57.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
"utr_advantage": -2.833333333333332,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -34,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.40546510810816444,
"rank_advantage": -36,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.705882352941174,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.522058823529413,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.06992647058823565,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.391304347826087,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.7058823529411766,
"combined_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.413235294117655,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.718982765489751,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.270378785275791,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.962722178061241,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.450735294117642,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.47058823529411764,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 32.47399999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03600000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11105882352941165,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.144761904761907,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}