Xinyu Wang vs Renata Zarazua
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Xinyu Wang
Xinyu …: 57,0% Renata …: 43,0%
¿Por qué Xinyu Wang?
UTR 12,25 vs 12,08 (+0,12) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Xinyu … Renata … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,42 2,90 70,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,76 2,32 57,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Xinyu …: +0,1% Renata …: -0,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xinyu Wang
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/27 = 44,4%
Renata Zarazua
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 20,0000
rank_ratio 1,3509
log_rank_ratio 0,3008
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 212,0000
best_rank_diff 19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,1368
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,6147
surface_matches_ratio 1,0385
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,4444
surface_wr_p2 42,3077
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,1613
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,3333
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,3118
first_serve_won_diff 5,3855
second_serve_won_diff -0,4627
bp_saved_diff 0,4043
bp_converted_diff -0,7519
aces_per_match_diff 2,3789
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,8000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -36,1200
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7416
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5200
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 4,3428
serve_consistency_p2 6,1772
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,6426
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0756
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0569
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1200
utr_p1 0,4918
utr_p2 0,4776
utr_advantage 0,9901
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21830
API ID 15302246
Gamdom ID 564742
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21830,
    "api_id": 15302246,
    "gamdom_id": 564742,
    "player1": "Xinyu Wang",
    "player2": "Renata Zarazua",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-07T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.9
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 2.89
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5696,
    "prob_p2": 0.4304,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5696,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 12.08,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.25,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.08,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.11999999999999922,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3508771929824561,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 212,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.4042735042734975,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.8,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -59.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
    "utr_advantage": 0.9900990099009835,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3007541540191337,
    "rank_advantage": 20,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.1367521367521363,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.7518518518518604,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.311766381766397,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7415730337078652,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.52,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.378917378917379,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.3854700854700965,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.342807117359381,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.177210801649399,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.642637081237465,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.16129032258064,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.46267806267804445,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0384615384615385,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -36.12,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0755555555555556,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05692307692307691,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.6146953405017859,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}