Xinyu Wang vs Renata Zarazua
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 09:00
07 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Xinyu Wang
Xinyu …: 57,0%
Renata …: 43,0%
¿Por qué Xinyu Wang?
UTR 12,25 vs 12,08
(+0,12)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Xinyu … | Renata … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,42 | 2,90 | 70,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,76 | 2,32 | 57,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Xinyu …: +0,1%
Renata …: -0,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xinyu Wang
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/27 = 44,4%
Renata Zarazua
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 20,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3509 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3008 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 212,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,1368 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,6147 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0385 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,1613 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,3118 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,3855 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,4627 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,4043 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,7519 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,3789 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -36,1200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7416 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5200 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,3428 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1772 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6426 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0756 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0569 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,9901 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21830
API ID
15302246
Gamdom ID
564742
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21830,
"api_id": 15302246,
"gamdom_id": 564742,
"player1": "Xinyu Wang",
"player2": "Renata Zarazua",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-07T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.9
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 2.89
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5696,
"prob_p2": 0.4304,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5696,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 12.08,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 85,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
"utr_diff": 0.11999999999999922,
"rank_ratio": 1.3508771929824561,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 212,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.4042735042734975,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.8,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -59.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
"utr_advantage": 0.9900990099009835,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3007541540191337,
"rank_advantage": 20,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.1367521367521363,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.7518518518518604,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.311766381766397,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7415730337078652,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.52,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.378917378917379,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.3854700854700965,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.342807117359381,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.177210801649399,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.642637081237465,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.16129032258064,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.46267806267804445,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0384615384615385,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -36.12,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0755555555555556,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05692307692307691,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.6146953405017859,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}