Magdalena Frech vs Linda Noskova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2026, 08:00
07 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Linda Noskova
Magdalena …: 22,6%
Linda …: 77,4%
¿Por qué Linda Noskova?
UTR 12,16 vs 12,56
(-0,51)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Magdalena … | Linda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,50 | 1,30 | 28,6% |
| Gamdom | 3,75 | 1,29 | 26,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,43 | 1,29 | 22,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Magdalena …: -4,5%
Linda …: +4,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Magdalena Frech
Ranking
#57
UTR Rating
12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
8/23 = 34,8%
Linda Noskova
Ranking
#13
UTR Rating
12,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#19
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -47,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2034 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,5926 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1590,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -26,5810 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -20,6520 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5227 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 34,7826 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,0370 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,4167 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3043 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -15,2785 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -9,1182 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,3909 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,3727 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,6215 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 16,9290 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7049 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9725 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,7603 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8667 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 42,3338 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1052 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0666 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5365 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,1447 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21836
API ID
15302199
Gamdom ID
564698
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21836,
"api_id": 15302199,
"gamdom_id": 564698,
"player1": "Magdalena Frech",
"player2": "Linda Noskova",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-07T04:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.5,
"p2": 1.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.29
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.69,
"p2": 1.28
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2258,
"prob_p2": 0.7742,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7742,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 57,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 13,
"utr_singles": 12.56,
"utr_ranking": 19,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 19,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5364705882352941,
"utr_diff": -0.5099999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 0.2033898305084746,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -1590,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.3909090909090978,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 34.78260869565217,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
"utr_advantage": -4.144656643640795,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.5926307941177191,
"rank_advantage": -47,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -26.581027667984195,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.372727272727275,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"serve_quality_diff": -15.278537549407105,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7049180327868853,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9724770642201835,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.621541501976285,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.599999999999994,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.30434782608695654,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.760255493326939,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.866701464494483,
"surface_rank_synergy": 42.33376320332673,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.03703703703704,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -9.118181818181817,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5227272727272727,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 16.929000000000016,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 72,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10517391304347823,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0666363636363636,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -20.652006172839503,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}