Magdalena Frech vs Linda Noskova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Linda Noskova
Magdalena …: 22,6% Linda …: 77,4%
¿Por qué Linda Noskova?
UTR 12,16 vs 12,56 (-0,51) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Magdalena … Linda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,50 1,30 28,6%
Gamdom 3,75 1,29 26,7%
IA Fair Odds 4,43 1,29 22,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Magdalena …: -4,5% Linda …: +4,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Magdalena Frech
Ranking #57
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #62
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 8/23 = 34,8%
Linda Noskova
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 12,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #19
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -47,0000
rank_ratio 0,2034
log_rank_ratio -1,5926
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1590,0000
best_rank_diff -9,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -26,5810
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -20,6520
surface_matches_ratio 0,5227
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 34,7826
surface_wr_p2 61,3636
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,0370
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,4167
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 44,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3043
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -15,2785
first_serve_won_diff -10,6000
second_serve_won_diff -9,1182
bp_saved_diff -1,3909
bp_converted_diff -5,3727
aces_per_match_diff -3,6215
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 16,9290
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 72,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7049
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9725
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 4,7603
serve_consistency_p2 8,8667
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 42,3338
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1052
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0666
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5100
utr_p1 0,4765
utr_p2 0,5365
utr_advantage -4,1447
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21836
API ID 15302199
Gamdom ID 564698
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21836,
    "api_id": 15302199,
    "gamdom_id": 564698,
    "player1": "Magdalena Frech",
    "player2": "Linda Noskova",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-07T04:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.5,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.29
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.69,
      "p2": 1.28
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2258,
    "prob_p2": 0.7742,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7742,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 57,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 62,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 12.56,
      "utr_ranking": 19,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 62,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.56,
      "ranking": 19,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5364705882352941,
    "utr_diff": -0.5099999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2033898305084746,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -1590,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.3909090909090978,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 34.78260869565217,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
    "utr_advantage": -4.144656643640795,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -9,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.5926307941177191,
    "rank_advantage": -47,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -26.581027667984195,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.372727272727275,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "serve_quality_diff": -15.278537549407105,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7049180327868853,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9724770642201835,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.621541501976285,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -10.599999999999994,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.30434782608695654,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.760255493326939,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.866701464494483,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 42.33376320332673,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.03703703703704,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -9.118181818181817,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5227272727272727,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 16.929000000000016,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 72,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10517391304347823,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0666363636363636,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -20.652006172839503,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}