Quentin Halys vs Brandon Nakashima
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 07:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Brandon Nakashima
Quentin …: 34,4% Brandon …: 65,6%
¿Por qué Brandon Nakashima?
UTR 14,75 vs 15,41 (-0,69) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Quentin … Brandon … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,44 36,4%
Gamdom 2,85 1,44 35,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,91 1,52 34,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Quentin …: +0,0% Brandon …: 0,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Quentin Halys
Ranking #83
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #120
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 13/33 = 39,4%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking #30
UTR Rating 15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #33
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 21/39 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -58,0000
rank_ratio 0,3626
log_rank_ratio -1,0144
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -711,0000
best_rank_diff -17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,4522
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,9478
surface_matches_ratio 0,8462
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 39,3939
surface_wr_p2 53,8462
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,5405
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,4884
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 39,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2121
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,5901
first_serve_won_diff 1,0851
second_serve_won_diff 1,4329
bp_saved_diff -6,8762
bp_converted_diff -1,9054
aces_per_match_diff 3,8089
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 29,9250
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9620
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9762
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6875
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 6,0497
serve_consistency_p2 7,9079
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 14,6596
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0481
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0195
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6900
utr_p1 0,7965
utr_p2 0,8776
utr_advantage -4,5650
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21850
API ID 15298544
Gamdom ID 563259
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21850,
    "api_id": 15298544,
    "gamdom_id": 563259,
    "player1": "Quentin Halys",
    "player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-08T03:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.85,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.79,
      "p2": 1.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3438,
    "prob_p2": 0.6562,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6562,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 83,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 120,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 30,
      "utr_singles": 15.41,
      "utr_ranking": 33,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 120,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.41,
      "ranking": 33,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.796470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.8776470588235296,
    "utr_diff": -0.6900000000000013,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3626373626373626,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -711,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.876223776223775,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 47.99999999999998,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 39.39393939393939,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
    "utr_advantage": -4.565001653986115,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0143519450503697,
    "rank_advantage": -58,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6875,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -14.452214452214456,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.9053613053613034,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 39,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.590116550116534,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9619565217391305,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9761904761904762,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.808857808857809,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.0850815850815678,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.21212121212121213,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.0497494516824375,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.907915979939828,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 14.659631839888798,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.54054054054054,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.48837209302325,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4328671328671234,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8461538461538461,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 29.924999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.048060606060606026,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.019538461538461616,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.947831552482711,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}