Quentin Halys vs Brandon Nakashima
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 07:50
08 Ene 2026, 07:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Brandon Nakashima
Quentin …: 34,4%
Brandon …: 65,6%
¿Por qué Brandon Nakashima?
UTR 14,75 vs 15,41
(-0,69)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Quentin … | Brandon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,44 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,85 | 1,44 | 35,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,91 | 1,52 | 34,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Quentin …: +0,0%
Brandon …: 0,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Quentin Halys
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#120
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
13/33 = 39,4%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
21/39 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -58,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3626 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0144 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -711,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,4522 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,9478 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8462 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 39,3939 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,5405 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,4884 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2121 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,5901 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,0851 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,4329 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,8762 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,9054 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,8089 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 29,9250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9620 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9762 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6875 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0497 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,9079 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 14,6596 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0481 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0195 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8776 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,5650 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21850
API ID
15298544
Gamdom ID
563259
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21850,
"api_id": 15298544,
"gamdom_id": 563259,
"player1": "Quentin Halys",
"player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-08T03:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.44
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.85,
"p2": 1.44
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.79,
"p2": 1.43
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3438,
"prob_p2": 0.6562,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6562,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 120,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 30,
"utr_singles": 15.41,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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},
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.6900000000000013,
"rank_ratio": 0.3626373626373626,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -711,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.876223776223775,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 47.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 39.39393939393939,
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"utr_advantage": -4.565001653986115,
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"best_rank_diff": -17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0143519450503697,
"rank_advantage": -58,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6875,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.452214452214456,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.9053613053613034,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 39,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.590116550116534,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9619565217391305,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9761904761904762,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.808857808857809,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.0850815850815678,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.21212121212121213,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.0497494516824375,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.907915979939828,
"surface_rank_synergy": 14.659631839888798,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.54054054054054,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.48837209302325,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.4328671328671234,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8461538461538461,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 29.924999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.048060606060606026,
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"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.947831552482711,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}