Tamara Zidansek vs Lanlana Tararudee
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 06:20
07 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Zidansek
Tamara …: 73,5%
Lanlana …: 26,5%
¿Por qué Tamara Zidansek?
UTR 11,85 vs 11,89
(+0,10)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tamara … | Lanlana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,50 | 1,56 | 40,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,36 | 3,78 | 73,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tamara …: +23,5%
Lanlana …: -23,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Zidansek
Ranking
#151
UTR Rating
11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#140
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
5/8 = 62,5%
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking
#131
UTR Rating
11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8397 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1747 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -101,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 112,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 22,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,5200 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,0375 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,6250 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 16,2750 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 20,0510 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6071 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,1148 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5765 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,9298 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1500 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1250 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4447 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,8453 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21854
API ID
15302439
Gamdom ID
564773
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21854,
"api_id": 15302439,
"gamdom_id": 564773,
"player1": "Tamara Zidansek",
"player2": "Lanlana Tararudee",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-07T02:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.56
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.55
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7352,
"prob_p2": 0.2648,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7352,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 151,
"utr_singles": 11.85,
"utr_ranking": 140,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 131,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.85,
"ranking": 140,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4564705882352942,
"utr_p2": 0.4447058823529411,
"utr_diff": 0.10000000000000142,
"rank_ratio": 0.8397435897435898,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": -101,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 16.275,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 21.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.8453085376162419,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 112,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1746586840483855,
"rank_advantage": -25,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 22.5,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.299999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.037499999999994,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.42000000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.6999999999999886,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.114755480368856,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.576453504455872,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.9298203910886738,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.625,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 20.051000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15000000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.125,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.520000000000002,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}