Coco Gauff vs Maria Sakkari
United Cup | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 06:00
07 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 86,3%
Maria …: 13,7%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,17
(+0,61)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Coco … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,32 | 3,40 | 75,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,16 | 7,31 | 86,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Coco …: +17,6%
Maria …: -17,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
25/36 = 69,4%
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
12,17 Pro
UTR Ranking
#60
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/35 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 47,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 12,7500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,5455 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 5157,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 26,5873 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 23,9103 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,5897 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3889 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,1545 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,5729 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,6926 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,1364 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 11,6810 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5802 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -31,2500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6609 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6810 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,7367 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,3091 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 67,6788 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1474 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0244 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 79,7619 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4929 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,8820 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21855
API ID
15322085
Gamdom ID
576374
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21855,
"api_id": 15322085,
"gamdom_id": 576374,
"player1": "Coco Gauff",
"player2": "Maria Sakkari",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-07T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.38
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8632,
"prob_p2": 0.1368,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8632,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 12.77,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 53,
"utr_singles": 12.17,
"utr_ranking": 60,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.77,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.17,
"ranking": 60,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_diff": 0.6100000000000012,
"rank_ratio": 12.75,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 5157,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.13642857142856002,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -42.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 4.881952781112455,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"h2h_on_surface": 2,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.545531271604435,
"rank_advantage": 47,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 26.58730158730159,
"bp_converted_diff": 11.680952380952377,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.154531746031751,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6810344827586207,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5801587301587303,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.5728571428571385,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.7366978941523894,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.30913716294107,
"surface_rank_synergy": 67.67880761805442,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.58974358974359,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.692619047619047,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0285714285714285,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -31.25,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 79.76190476190476,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1474444444444445,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02442857142857152,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.91025641025641,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}