Coco Gauff vs Maria Sakkari
United Cup | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 86,3% Maria …: 13,7%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,17 (+0,61) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coco … Maria … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,32 3,40 75,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,16 7,31 86,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Coco …: +17,6% Maria …: -17,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/36 = 69,4%
Maria Sakkari
Ranking #53
UTR Rating 12,17 Pro
UTR Ranking #60
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/35 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 47,0000
rank_ratio 12,7500
log_rank_ratio 2,5455
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 5157,0000
best_rank_diff 1,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 26,5873
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 23,9103
surface_matches_ratio 1,0286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,4444
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 67,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,5897
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3889
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,1545
first_serve_won_diff 6,5729
second_serve_won_diff 5,6926
bp_saved_diff 0,1364
bp_converted_diff 11,6810
aces_per_match_diff 0,5802
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -31,2500
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 2,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6810
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 3,7367
serve_consistency_p2 9,3091
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 67,6788
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1474
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0244
elite_surface_amplifier 79,7619
UTR
utr_diff 0,6100
utr_p1 0,5647
utr_p2 0,4929
utr_advantage 4,8820
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21855
API ID 15322085
Gamdom ID 576374
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21855,
    "api_id": 15322085,
    "gamdom_id": 576374,
    "player1": "Coco Gauff",
    "player2": "Maria Sakkari",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-07T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.31,
      "p2": 3.38
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8632,
    "prob_p2": 0.1368,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8632,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 12.77,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 53,
      "utr_singles": 12.17,
      "utr_ranking": 60,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.77,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.17,
      "ranking": 60,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
    "utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
    "utr_diff": 0.6100000000000012,
    "rank_ratio": 12.75,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 5157,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.13642857142856002,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 4.881952781112455,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 1,
    "h2h_on_surface": 2,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.545531271604435,
    "rank_advantage": 47,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 26.58730158730159,
    "bp_converted_diff": 11.680952380952377,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.154531746031751,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6810344827586207,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5801587301587303,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.5728571428571385,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.7366978941523894,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.30913716294107,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 67.67880761805442,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.58974358974359,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.692619047619047,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0285714285714285,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -31.25,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 79.76190476190476,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1474444444444445,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02442857142857152,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.91025641025641,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}