Taylor Fritz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
United Cup | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 07:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taylor Fritz
Taylor …: 68,2% Stefanos …: 31,8%
¿Por qué Taylor Fritz?
UTR 15,71 vs 15,45 (+0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Taylor … Stefanos … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,7%
Gamdom 1,45 2,80 69,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,47 3,15 68,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Taylor …: +9,3% Stefanos …: -9,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Fritz
Ranking #9
UTR Rating 15,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #11
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 34/50 = 68,0%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking #35
UTR Rating 15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking #30
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 13/23 = 56,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 25,0000
rank_ratio 3,7778
log_rank_ratio 1,3291
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2460,0000
best_rank_diff -1,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11,4783
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,8148
surface_matches_ratio 2,1739
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 68,0000
surface_wr_p2 56,5217
surface_wr_p1_stable 66,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,5556
p1_surface_matches 50,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3600
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,2249
first_serve_won_diff 1,6315
second_serve_won_diff -0,3811
bp_saved_diff 7,7881
bp_converted_diff 1,9728
aces_per_match_diff 3,2617
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -36,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -15,9000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2213
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2295
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5172
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6154
serve_consistency_p1 6,9219
serve_consistency_p2 10,1555
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15,2562
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1550
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0902
elite_surface_amplifier 22,9565
UTR
utr_diff 0,2400
utr_p1 0,9212
utr_p2 0,8929
utr_advantage 1,5277
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21856
API ID 15322084
Gamdom ID 576376
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21856,
    "api_id": 15322084,
    "gamdom_id": 576376,
    "player1": "Taylor Fritz",
    "player2": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-07T03:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.45,
      "p2": 2.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.8
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6823,
    "prob_p2": 0.3177,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6823,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 9,
      "utr_singles": 15.71,
      "utr_ranking": 11,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 35,
      "utr_singles": 15.45,
      "utr_ranking": 30,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.71,
      "ranking": 11,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.45,
      "ranking": 30,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9211764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.8929411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 3.7777777777777777,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 2460,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.788086956521738,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -35.99999999999998,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 68.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.52173913043478,
    "utr_advantage": 1.5276893698281362,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -1,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.329135947279942,
    "rank_advantage": 25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5172413793103449,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 11.478260869565219,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.9727826086956526,
    "p1_surface_matches": 50,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.224878260869559,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.221276595744681,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2295081967213115,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.2617391304347834,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.6314782608695708,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.36,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.921905663823278,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.155542968977818,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.256169133995858,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.3811304347826052,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.1739130434782608,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -15.90000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 22.956521739130437,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15500000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0902173913043478,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.814814814814804,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}