Taylor Fritz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
United Cup | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 07:50
07 Ene 2026, 07:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taylor Fritz
Taylor …: 68,2%
Stefanos …: 31,8%
¿Por qué Taylor Fritz?
UTR 15,71 vs 15,45
(+0,24)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Taylor … | Stefanos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,45 | 2,80 | 69,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,47 | 3,15 | 68,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Taylor …: +9,3%
Stefanos …: -9,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Fritz
Ranking
#9
UTR Rating
15,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#11
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
34/50 = 68,0%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking
#35
UTR Rating
15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#30
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
13/23 = 56,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,7778 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3291 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2460,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,4783 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,8148 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1739 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,5217 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,5556 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3600 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,2249 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,6315 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,3811 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,7881 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,9728 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,2617 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -36,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15,9000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2213 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2295 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5172 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6154 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9219 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,1555 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 15,2562 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1550 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0902 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 22,9565 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8929 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,5277 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21856
API ID
15322084
Gamdom ID
576376
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21856,
"api_id": 15322084,
"gamdom_id": 576376,
"player1": "Taylor Fritz",
"player2": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-07T03:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5699999999999998,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.45,
"p2": 2.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.8
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6823,
"prob_p2": 0.3177,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6823,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 9,
"utr_singles": 15.71,
"utr_ranking": 11,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 35,
"utr_singles": 15.45,
"utr_ranking": 30,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.71,
"ranking": 11,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.45,
"ranking": 30,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8929411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 3.7777777777777777,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 2460,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.788086956521738,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -35.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 68.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.52173913043478,
"utr_advantage": 1.5276893698281362,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.329135947279942,
"rank_advantage": 25,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5172413793103449,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.478260869565219,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.9727826086956526,
"p1_surface_matches": 50,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.224878260869559,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.221276595744681,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2295081967213115,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.2617391304347834,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.6314782608695708,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.36,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.921905663823278,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.155542968977818,
"surface_rank_synergy": 15.256169133995858,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.3811304347826052,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.1739130434782608,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.90000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 22.956521739130437,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15500000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0902173913043478,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.814814814814804,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}