Belinda Bencic vs Solana Sierra
United Cup | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 13:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Belinda Bencic
Belinda …: 89,4% Solana …: 10,6%
¿Por qué Belinda Bencic?
UTR 12,48 vs 12,06 (+0,43) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Belinda … Solana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 4,50 85,7%
Gamdom 1,14 6,00 87,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,12 9,41 89,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Belinda …: +10,0% Solana …: -10,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Belinda Bencic
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #23
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 30/41 = 73,2%
Solana Sierra
Ranking #63
UTR Rating 12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #89
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 55,0000
rank_ratio 6,0000
log_rank_ratio 1,7918
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2119,0000
best_rank_diff 60,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 30,3136
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 19,8222
surface_matches_ratio 2,9286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 73,1707
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4634
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,0074
first_serve_won_diff 5,6286
second_serve_won_diff 0,9571
bp_saved_diff 7,9571
bp_converted_diff 3,3714
aces_per_match_diff -1,0470
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 30,4100
current_streak_diff 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7130
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 10,4931
serve_consistency_p2 9,2722
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 54,3147
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1767
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0164
elite_surface_amplifier 60,6272
UTR
utr_diff 0,4300
utr_p1 0,5259
utr_p2 0,4753
utr_advantage 3,5088
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21857
API ID 15322086
Gamdom ID 576378
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21857,
    "api_id": 15322086,
    "gamdom_id": 576378,
    "player1": "Belinda Bencic",
    "player2": "Solana Sierra",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-07T09:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1666666666666667,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.14,
      "p2": 6.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.14,
      "p2": 5.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8937,
    "prob_p2": 0.1063,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8937,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 10,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 23,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 73.17073170731707,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 63,
      "utr_singles": 12.06,
      "utr_ranking": 89,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 23,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.06,
      "ranking": 89,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5258823529411766,
    "utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_diff": 0.4300000000000015,
    "rank_ratio": 6.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 2119,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.957142857142841,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 59.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 73.17073170731707,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 3.5087719298245736,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 60,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.791759469228055,
    "rank_advantage": 55,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 30.31358885017422,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.3714285714285737,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.007351916376301,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7130434782608696,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0470383275261326,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.628571428571419,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4634146341463415,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.49314412663127,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.272215598839528,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 54.31465986858564,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.9571428571428626,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.9285714285714284,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 30.409999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 60.62717770034844,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17670731707317078,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.016428571428571515,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.822222222222226,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}