Belinda Bencic vs Solana Sierra
United Cup | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 13:05
07 Ene 2026, 13:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Belinda Bencic
Belinda …: 89,4%
Solana …: 10,6%
¿Por qué Belinda Bencic?
UTR 12,48 vs 12,06
(+0,43)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Belinda … | Solana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 4,50 | 85,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,14 | 6,00 | 87,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,12 | 9,41 | 89,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Belinda …: +10,0%
Solana …: -10,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Belinda Bencic
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#23
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
30/41 = 73,2%
Solana Sierra
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#89
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 55,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,7918 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2119,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 60,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 30,3136 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19,8222 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,9286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 73,1707 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 71,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4634 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,0074 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,6286 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,9571 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,9571 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,3714 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0470 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 30,4100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7130 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,4931 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,2722 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 54,3147 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1767 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0164 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 60,6272 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5259 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,5088 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21857
API ID
15322086
Gamdom ID
576378
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21857,
"api_id": 15322086,
"gamdom_id": 576378,
"player1": "Belinda Bencic",
"player2": "Solana Sierra",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-07T09:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1666666666666667,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.14,
"p2": 6.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.14,
"p2": 5.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8937,
"prob_p2": 0.1063,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8937,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 23,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.17073170731707,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 63,
"utr_singles": 12.06,
"utr_ranking": 89,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 23,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.06,
"ranking": 89,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_diff": 0.4300000000000015,
"rank_ratio": 6.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 2119,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.957142857142841,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 59.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 73.17073170731707,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 3.5087719298245736,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 60,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.791759469228055,
"rank_advantage": 55,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 30.31358885017422,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.3714285714285737,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.007351916376301,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7130434782608696,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0470383275261326,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.628571428571419,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4634146341463415,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.49314412663127,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.272215598839528,
"surface_rank_synergy": 54.31465986858564,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.9571428571428626,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.9285714285714284,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 30.409999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 60.62717770034844,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17670731707317078,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.016428571428571515,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.822222222222226,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}