Simona Waltert vs Darja Vidmanova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 03:30
07 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Simona …: 58,4%
Darja …: 41,6%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Simona … | Darja … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 2,04 | 1,82 | 49,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,71 | 2,40 | 58,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Simona …: -0,3%
Darja …: +0,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Simona Waltert
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
8/12 = 66,7%
Darja Vidmanova
Ranking
#142
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
4/6 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 57,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6477 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4994 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 323,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 54,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,0700 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,4600 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,3167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,6167 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,6667 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,3500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,8333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 16,1500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,4789 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,9350 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1097 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2237 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4965 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21860
API ID
15302442
Gamdom ID
564774
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21860,
"api_id": 15302442,
"gamdom_id": 564774,
"player1": "Simona Waltert",
"player2": "Darja Vidmanova",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-06T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.04,
"p2": 1.82
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.01,
"p2": 1.77
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5839,
"prob_p2": 0.4161,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5839,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 66,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 142,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 66,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4964705882352942,
"utr_p2": 0.4964705882352942,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.6477272727272727,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 323,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.6666666666666714,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 54,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4993969279423679,
"rank_advantage": 57,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.3500000000000085,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.46000000000000796,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8333333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.42000000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.3166666666666629,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.478858388044685,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.93504421552332,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.616666666666667,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 16.150000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10966666666666658,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22366666666666646,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.06999999999999901,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}