Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Moyuka Uchijima
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 05:00
07 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Moyuka Uchijima
Ekaterine …: 34,0%
Moyuka …: 66,0%
¿Por qué Moyuka Uchijima?
UTR 11,63 vs 11,46
(+0,05)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ekaterine … | Moyuka … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,90 | 1,44 | 34,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,94 | 1,51 | 34,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ekaterine …: -9,2%
Moyuka …: +9,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ranking
#169
UTR Rating
11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#202
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Moyuka Uchijima
Ranking
#88
UTR Rating
11,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#280
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
14/34 = 41,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -87,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5057 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6818 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -418,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -61,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,8235 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,6076 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0588 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,1765 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 36,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,1053 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,4447 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,2176 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,9588 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,8588 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,0824 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9118 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 35,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7984 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5833 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,7196 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,2706 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,0163 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0870 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1752 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4200 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4141 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,4331 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21861
API ID
15302436
Gamdom ID
564777
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21861,
"api_id": 15302436,
"gamdom_id": 564777,
"player1": "Ekaterine Gorgodze",
"player2": "Moyuka Uchijima",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-07T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.9,
"p2": 1.44
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.78,
"p2": 1.42
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3399,
"prob_p2": 0.6601,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6601,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 169,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 202,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 88,
"utr_singles": 11.46,
"utr_ranking": 280,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.17647058823529,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 202,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.46,
"ranking": 280,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4141176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.05000000000000071,
"rank_ratio": 0.5056818181818182,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -418,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.858823529411765,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.17647058823529,
"utr_advantage": 0.43308791684712616,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -61,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6818476253060118,
"rank_advantage": -87,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.82352941176471,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.0823529411764667,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 34,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.444705882352942,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7984496124031008,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9117647058823528,
"combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.217647058823538,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.719576419707513,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.270568394929114,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.016302576229519,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.10526315789473,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.958823529411767,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.058823529411764705,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 35.94999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08699999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.17523529411764704,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.6076023391812853,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}