Lola Radivojevic vs Polina Kudermetova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 05:15
07 Ene 2026, 05:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Lola …: 17,8%
Polina …: 82,2%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 11,99 vs 11,71
(+0,40)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lola … | Polina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,17 | 1,73 | 46,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,61 | 1,22 | 17,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lola …: -47,8%
Polina …: +47,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lola Radivojevic
Ranking
#137
UTR Rating
11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#108
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
0/5 = 0,0%
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking
#150
UTR Rating
11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#182
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/35 = 48,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 30,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2190 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1980 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 107,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -87,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,3230 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,6111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,7179 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,0694 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,5857 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,5886 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,1229 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -29,8686 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,7150 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7468 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,3741 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7849 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -9,6178 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5300 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0157 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4212 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,3956 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21862
API ID
15302438
Gamdom ID
564785
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21862,
"api_id": 15302438,
"gamdom_id": 564785,
"player1": "Lola Radivojevic",
"player2": "Polina Kudermetova",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-07T01:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.17,
"p2": 1.73
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.07,
"p2": 1.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1781,
"prob_p2": 0.8219,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8219,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 137,
"utr_singles": 11.99,
"utr_ranking": 108,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": 11.71,
"utr_ranking": 182,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.99,
"ranking": 108,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.71,
"ranking": 182,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.4211764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.40000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 1.218978102189781,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 107,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.1228571428571428,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 9.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": 3.395585738539901,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -87,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.19801288658863014,
"rank_advantage": 30,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -48.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": -29.86857142857143,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.06942857142857406,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7468354430379747,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1999999999999997,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.5857142857142819,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.374113862127226,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.784931841198768,
"surface_rank_synergy": -9.617768777162036,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.611111111111114,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.717948717948715,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.588571428571434,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.14285714285714285,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.715000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.53,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.015714285714285736,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.323005698005694,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}