Lola Radivojevic vs Polina Kudermetova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 05:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Lola …: 17,8% Polina …: 82,2%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 11,99 vs 11,71 (+0,40) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lola … Polina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 2,17 1,73 46,1%
IA Fair Odds 5,61 1,22 17,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Lola …: -47,8% Polina …: +47,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lola Radivojevic
Ranking #137
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #108
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 0/5 = 0,0%
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #182
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/35 = 48,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 30,0000
rank_ratio 1,2190
log_rank_ratio 0,1980
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 107,0000
best_rank_diff -87,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -48,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,3230
surface_matches_ratio 0,1429
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 48,5714
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,6111
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,7179
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,0694
first_serve_won_diff -1,5857
second_serve_won_diff -5,5886
bp_saved_diff 2,1229
bp_converted_diff -29,8686
aces_per_match_diff 1,2000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 11,7150
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7468
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 13,3741
serve_consistency_p2 8,7849
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -9,6178
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5300
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0157
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4000
utr_p1 0,4682
utr_p2 0,4212
utr_advantage 3,3956
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21862
API ID 15302438
Gamdom ID 564785
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21862,
    "api_id": 15302438,
    "gamdom_id": 564785,
    "player1": "Lola Radivojevic",
    "player2": "Polina Kudermetova",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-07T01:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.17,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.07,
      "p2": 1.73
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1781,
    "prob_p2": 0.8219,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8219,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 137,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 108,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 11.71,
      "utr_ranking": 182,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 11.99,
      "ranking": 108,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 182,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4211764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.40000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 1.218978102189781,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 107,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.1228571428571428,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 9.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.57142857142857,
    "utr_advantage": 3.395585738539901,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -87,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.19801288658863014,
    "rank_advantage": 30,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -48.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": -29.86857142857143,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.06942857142857406,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7468354430379747,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.1999999999999997,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.5857142857142819,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.374113862127226,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.784931841198768,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -9.617768777162036,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.611111111111114,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.717948717948715,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.588571428571434,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.14285714285714285,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 11.715000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.53,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.015714285714285736,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.323005698005694,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}