Mayar Sherif vs Himeno Sakatsume
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 10:00
07 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Mayar …: 29,1%
Himeno …: 70,9%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 11,81 vs 12,04
(+0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mayar … | Himeno … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,44 | 1,41 | 29,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mayar …: -14,1%
Himeno …: +14,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mayar Sherif
Ranking
#109
UTR Rating
11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#153
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
1/9 = 11,1%
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#94
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 44,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4112 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3445 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 253,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 124,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -46,0317 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,2451 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 11,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 25,2137 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,3247 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,7778 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,8459 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,5111 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,4556 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,7333 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -23,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0635 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3939 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,6386 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5993 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -15,8557 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4329 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1154 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,3536 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21863
API ID
15302430
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21863,
"api_id": 15302430,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mayar Sherif",
"player2": "Himeno Sakatsume",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-07T06:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.9,
"p2": 1.39
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2906,
"prob_p2": 0.7094,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7094,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 109,
"utr_singles": 11.81,
"utr_ranking": 153,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 11.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 94,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 153,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 94,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.44,
"utr_diff": 0.16000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 1.411214953271028,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 253,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.733333333333327,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 11.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": 1.3536379018612532,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 124,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3444510023530182,
"rank_advantage": 44,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -46.031746031746025,
"bp_converted_diff": -23.200000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.8458730158730177,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3939393939393939,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0634920634920633,
"combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.5111111111111057,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.7777777777777778,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.638608303397148,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.59933046020578,
"surface_rank_synergy": -15.855681060694485,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.213675213675213,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.455555555555549,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2857142857142858,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.949999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.43288888888888893,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11542857142857144,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.245140045140042,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}