Mayar Sherif vs Himeno Sakatsume
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Mayar …: 29,1% Himeno …: 70,9%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 11,81 vs 12,04 (+0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mayar … Himeno … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
IA Fair Odds 3,44 1,41 29,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Mayar …: -14,1% Himeno …: +14,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mayar Sherif
Ranking #109
UTR Rating 11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #153
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 1/9 = 11,1%
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking #140
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #94
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 44,0000
rank_ratio 1,4112
log_rank_ratio 0,3445
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 253,0000
best_rank_diff 124,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -46,0317
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,2451
surface_matches_ratio 1,2857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 11,1111
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 25,2137
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,3247
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,7778
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,4067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,8459
first_serve_won_diff -2,5111
second_serve_won_diff 8,4556
bp_saved_diff 3,7333
bp_converted_diff -23,2000
aces_per_match_diff -1,0635
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,9500
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3939
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,6386
serve_consistency_p2 6,5993
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -15,8557
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4329
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1154
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1600
utr_p1 0,4588
utr_p2 0,4400
utr_advantage 1,3536
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21863
API ID 15302430
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21863,
    "api_id": 15302430,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Mayar Sherif",
    "player2": "Himeno Sakatsume",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-07T06:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.9,
      "p2": 1.39
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2906,
    "prob_p2": 0.7094,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7094,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 109,
      "utr_singles": 11.81,
      "utr_ranking": 153,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 11.11111111111111,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 140,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 94,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.81,
      "ranking": 153,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 94,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.44,
    "utr_diff": 0.16000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 1.411214953271028,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 253,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.733333333333327,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 11.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": 1.3536379018612532,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 124,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3444510023530182,
    "rank_advantage": 44,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -46.031746031746025,
    "bp_converted_diff": -23.200000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.8458730158730177,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3939393939393939,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0634920634920633,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.5111111111111057,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.7777777777777778,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.638608303397148,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.59933046020578,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -15.855681060694485,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.213675213675213,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 8.455555555555549,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2857142857142858,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -14.949999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.43288888888888893,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11542857142857144,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.245140045140042,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}