Elina Svitolina vs Katie Boulter
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 09:00
08 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elina Svitolina
Elina …: 84,7%
Katie …: 15,3%
¿Por qué Elina Svitolina?
UTR 12,66 vs 12,09
(+0,59)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elina … | Katie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,33 | 82,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,23 | 4,20 | 81,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,18 | 6,52 | 84,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Elina …: +6,6%
Katie …: -6,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elina Svitolina
Ranking
#12
UTR Rating
12,66 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/27 = 63,0%
Katie Boulter
Ranking
#113
UTR Rating
12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#83
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 99,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 8,6154 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,1535 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1922,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,6553 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,8620 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0385 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,9630 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,2903 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2593 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,7790 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,6356 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,0231 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,9034 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,1510 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5840 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,0400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9645 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6190 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5495 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4895 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 44,4821 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0306 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0221 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 61,9658 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4824 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,7600 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21866
API ID
15302239
Gamdom ID
564737
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21866,
"api_id": 15302239,
"gamdom_id": 564737,
"player1": "Elina Svitolina",
"player2": "Katie Boulter",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-08T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.16
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8467,
"prob_p2": 0.1533,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8467,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 12,
"utr_singles": 12.66,
"utr_ranking": 9,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.96296296296296,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 113,
"utr_singles": 12.09,
"utr_ranking": 83,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.66,
"ranking": 9,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.09,
"ranking": 83,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5517647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.48235294117647054,
"utr_diff": 0.5899999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 8.615384615384615,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 1922,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.903418803418809,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.96296296296296,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
"utr_advantage": 4.759983864461476,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.153549513833558,
"rank_advantage": 99,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 20.655270655270655,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.1509971509971564,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.7789743589743665,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9645390070921985,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6190476190476191,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.584045584045584,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.6356125356125375,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25925925925925924,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.54950700291664,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.489525810780949,
"surface_rank_synergy": 44.48214807775867,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.29032258064516,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.023076923076928,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0384615384615385,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.0400000000000063,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 61.965811965811966,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.030629629629629673,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02207692307692305,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.862007168458778,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}