Elina Svitolina vs Katie Boulter
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elina Svitolina
Elina …: 84,7% Katie …: 15,3%
¿Por qué Elina Svitolina?
UTR 12,66 vs 12,09 (+0,59) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elina … Katie … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,33 82,0%
Gamdom 1,23 4,20 81,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,18 6,52 84,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Elina …: +6,6% Katie …: -6,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elina Svitolina
Ranking #12
UTR Rating 12,66 Pro
UTR Ranking #9
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/27 = 63,0%
Katie Boulter
Ranking #113
UTR Rating 12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #83
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 99,0000
rank_ratio 8,6154
log_rank_ratio 2,1535
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1922,0000
best_rank_diff 20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20,6553
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,8620
surface_matches_ratio 1,0385
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,9630
surface_wr_p2 42,3077
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,2903
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,3333
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2593
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,7790
first_serve_won_diff 7,6356
second_serve_won_diff -4,0231
bp_saved_diff 6,9034
bp_converted_diff -2,1510
aces_per_match_diff 0,5840
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,0400
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9645
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6190
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 6,5495
serve_consistency_p2 5,4895
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 44,4821
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0306
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0221
elite_surface_amplifier 61,9658
UTR
utr_diff 0,5900
utr_p1 0,5518
utr_p2 0,4824
utr_advantage 4,7600
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21866
API ID 15302239
Gamdom ID 564737
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21866,
    "api_id": 15302239,
    "gamdom_id": 564737,
    "player1": "Elina Svitolina",
    "player2": "Katie Boulter",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-08T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.16
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8467,
    "prob_p2": 0.1533,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8467,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 12,
      "utr_singles": 12.66,
      "utr_ranking": 9,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.96296296296296,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 113,
      "utr_singles": 12.09,
      "utr_ranking": 83,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.66,
      "ranking": 9,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.09,
      "ranking": 83,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.48235294117647054,
    "utr_diff": 0.5899999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 8.615384615384615,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 1922,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.903418803418809,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.96296296296296,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
    "utr_advantage": 4.759983864461476,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 20,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.153549513833558,
    "rank_advantage": 99,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 20.655270655270655,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.1509971509971564,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.7789743589743665,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9645390070921985,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6190476190476191,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.584045584045584,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.6356125356125375,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25925925925925924,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.54950700291664,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.489525810780949,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 44.48214807775867,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.29032258064516,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.023076923076928,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0384615384615385,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.0400000000000063,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 61.965811965811966,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.030629629629629673,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02207692307692305,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.862007168458778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}