Magda Linette vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 05:20
08 Ene 2026, 05:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Magda Linette
Magda …: 60,2%
Elisabetta …: 39,8%
¿Por qué Magda Linette?
UTR 12,11 vs 12,14
(+0,02)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Magda … | Elisabetta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 2,05 | 1,78 | 48,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,66 | 2,51 | 60,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Magda …: +3,4%
Elisabetta …: -3,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Magda Linette
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5577 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4432 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 252,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,7204 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,5126 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,0588 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,4019 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,9003 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,9888 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,0755 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,2447 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,4742 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18,9600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8451 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5733 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 15,5820 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,8419 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,7625 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0451 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0043 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,1650 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21867
API ID
15302259
Gamdom ID
564736
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21867,
"api_id": 15302259,
"gamdom_id": 564736,
"player1": "Magda Linette",
"player2": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-08T01:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.05,
"p2": 1.78
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.03,
"p2": 1.76
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6023,
"prob_p2": 0.3977,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6023,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 50,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 12.14,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.11,
"ranking": 75,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.14,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.48588235294117654,
"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.02000000000000135,
"rank_ratio": 1.5576923076923077,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 252,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.0754838709677443,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 0.16501650165017615,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 10,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.44320543609101143,
"rank_advantage": 29,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.7204301075268873,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.244731182795697,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.401903225806443,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8450704225352113,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5733333333333334,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.474193548387097,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.9003225806451667,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 15.5820130437574,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.841938251935728,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.7625039760705598,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.988817204301078,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0333333333333334,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.960000000000015,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04512903225806453,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.004333333333333356,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.5126050420168085,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}