Magda Linette vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 05:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Magda Linette
Magda …: 60,2% Elisabetta …: 39,8%
¿Por qué Magda Linette?
UTR 12,11 vs 12,14 (+0,02) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Magda … Elisabetta … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 2,05 1,78 48,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,66 2,51 60,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Magda …: +3,4% Elisabetta …: -3,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Magda Linette
Ranking #50
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #75
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 29,0000
rank_ratio 1,5577
log_rank_ratio 0,4432
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 252,0000
best_rank_diff 10,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,7204
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,5126
surface_matches_ratio 1,0333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,3871
surface_wr_p2 46,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,0588
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,4019
first_serve_won_diff 3,9003
second_serve_won_diff -4,9888
bp_saved_diff 1,0755
bp_converted_diff -4,2447
aces_per_match_diff 2,4742
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -18,9600
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8451
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5733
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1429
serve_consistency_p1 15,5820
serve_consistency_p2 11,8419
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,7625
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0451
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0043
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0200
utr_p1 0,4859
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage 0,1650
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21867
API ID 15302259
Gamdom ID 564736
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21867,
    "api_id": 15302259,
    "gamdom_id": 564736,
    "player1": "Magda Linette",
    "player2": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-08T01:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.05,
      "p2": 1.78
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.03,
      "p2": 1.76
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6023,
    "prob_p2": 0.3977,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6023,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 50,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 75,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 12.14,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 75,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.14,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_diff": 0.02000000000000135,
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    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 252,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.0754838709677443,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 0.16501650165017615,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 10,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.44320543609101143,
    "rank_advantage": 29,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.7204301075268873,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.244731182795697,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.401903225806443,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8450704225352113,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5733333333333334,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.474193548387097,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.9003225806451667,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.5820130437574,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.841938251935728,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.7625039760705598,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.988817204301078,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0333333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -18.960000000000015,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04512903225806453,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.004333333333333356,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.5126050420168085,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}