Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 05:00
08 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cameron Norrie
Cameron …: 69,5%
Aleksandar …: 30,5%
¿Por qué Cameron Norrie?
UTR 15,38 vs 14,80
(+0,96)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cameron … | Aleksandar … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 3,00 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,49 | 2,65 | 67,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,44 | 3,28 | 69,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Cameron …: +1,3%
Aleksandar …: -1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cameron Norrie
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/37 = 51,4%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#127
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/46 = 52,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 30,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0714 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7282 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 646,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 52,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,8226 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,7805 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8043 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,2195 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0270 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,2849 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,1353 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,9069 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,2007 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,5691 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,5447 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 37,4940 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0068 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5134 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,6883 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,5990 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0165 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0517 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -0,8226 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7776 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,3618 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21868
API ID
15298542
Gamdom ID
563257
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21868,
"api_id": 15298542,
"gamdom_id": 563257,
"player1": "Cameron Norrie",
"player2": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-08T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.48,
"p2": 2.63
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6948,
"prob_p2": 0.3052,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6948,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 15.38,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 127,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 127,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7776470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.9600000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 2.0714285714285716,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 646,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.200705052878973,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.35135135135135,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
"utr_advantage": 6.361829025844937,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 52,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7282385003712155,
"rank_advantage": 30,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.8225616921269108,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.5690951821386605,
"p1_surface_matches": 37,
"p2_surface_matches": 46,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.284853113983559,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0068493150684932,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.544653349001176,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.1352526439483057,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.02702702702702703,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.513359390517341,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.688341571658794,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.599021093137311,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.21951219512195,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.906933019976492,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8043478260869565,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 37.494000000000014,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.8225616921269108,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01648648648648654,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05173913043478262,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.7804878048780495,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}