Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cameron Norrie
Cameron …: 69,5% Aleksandar …: 30,5%
¿Por qué Cameron Norrie?
UTR 15,38 vs 14,80 (+0,96) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Cameron … Aleksandar … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 3,00 71,4%
Gamdom 1,49 2,65 67,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,44 3,28 69,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Cameron …: +1,3% Aleksandar …: -1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cameron Norrie
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/37 = 51,4%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #127
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/46 = 52,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 30,0000
rank_ratio 2,0714
log_rank_ratio 0,7282
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 646,0000
best_rank_diff 52,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,8226
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,7805
surface_matches_ratio 0,8043
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,3514
surface_wr_p2 52,1739
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,2195
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,0000
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 46,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0270
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,2849
first_serve_won_diff -2,1353
second_serve_won_diff 2,9069
bp_saved_diff 4,2007
bp_converted_diff -1,5691
aces_per_match_diff -2,5447
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 37,4940
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0068
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4500
serve_consistency_p1 6,5134
serve_consistency_p2 9,6883
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,5990
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0165
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0517
elite_surface_amplifier -0,8226
UTR
utr_diff 0,9600
utr_p1 0,8906
utr_p2 0,7776
utr_advantage 6,3618
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21868
API ID 15298542
Gamdom ID 563257
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21868,
    "api_id": 15298542,
    "gamdom_id": 563257,
    "player1": "Cameron Norrie",
    "player2": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-08T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.49,
      "p2": 2.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.63
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6948,
    "prob_p2": 0.3052,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6948,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 15.38,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 14.8,
      "utr_ranking": 127,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.38,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.8,
      "ranking": 127,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8905882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.7776470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.9600000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 2.0714285714285716,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 646,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.200705052878973,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 27.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.35135135135135,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
    "utr_advantage": 6.361829025844937,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 52,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7282385003712155,
    "rank_advantage": 30,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.8225616921269108,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.5690951821386605,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 46,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.284853113983559,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0068493150684932,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.544653349001176,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.1352526439483057,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.02702702702702703,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.513359390517341,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.688341571658794,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.599021093137311,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.21951219512195,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.906933019976492,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8043478260869565,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 37.494000000000014,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.8225616921269108,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01648648648648654,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05173913043478262,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.7804878048780495,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}